Result
4:1
13/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- World Cup - Qualification - Third stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Costa-rica | Canal 6 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Nicaragua | NicaSports |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Concacaf GO, NBC Universo, Paramount+, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (181/241) | 85% (381/449) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.28 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (181/241) | 85% (381/449) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (16/35) | 43% (23/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (51/83) | 61% (38/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 3.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', Waston K. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Martinez A. ⚽, Ugalde M. (A),
- 26', 1 - 1, Arteaga J. ⚽, Hernandez B. (A),
- 28', 2 - 1, Martinez A. ⚽, Waston K. (A),
- 32', Murillo A. ↓, Villalobos Alfaro G. ↑,
- 45', Reyes C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Reyes C. ↓, Acevedo O. ↑,
- 49', 3 - 1, Ugalde M. ⚽,
- 58', Gomez E. ↓, Bonilla B. ↑,
- 62', Martinez A. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
- 65', Arauz A. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
- 65', Arteaga J. ↓, Talavera W. ↑,
- 73', Barrera J. ↓, Moncada J. ↑,
- 73', Vargas K. ↓, Rojas A. ↑,
- 74', Ugalde M. ↓, Madrigal W. ↑,
- 76', Acevedo O. 🟨,
- 79', Quiros H. 🟨,
- 90+4', 4 - 1, Calvo F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Costa Rica
84.2% | Draw
11.2% | Nicaragua
4.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Costa Rica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Costa Rica's performance.Nicaragua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Costa Rica - Nicaragua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.12 ↓
(1.22) |
8.4 ↑
(5.5) |
20.93 ↑
(11) |
5.6%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Costa Rica - Nicaragua?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Costa Rica will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Nicaragua will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Costa Rica: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Costa Rica will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Costa Rica won 3.
- In this match, Costa Rica is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Costa Rica won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 1.8:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Costa Rica won against Nicaragua?
Costa Rica has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nicaragua won against Costa Rica?
Nicaragua has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Costa Rica - Nicaragua were as follows:
05.09.2025
Nicaragua
-
Costa Rica
1:1
Latest results of Costa Rica
Latest results of Nicaragua
FIFA World Cup Table
South America | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Argentina | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 31:10 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 29 |
| 3 | Colombia | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Uruguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 28 |
| 5 | Brazil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24:17 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | Paraguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 14:10 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Bolivia | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 17:35 | -18 | 20 |
| 8 | Venezuela | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18:28 | -10 | 18 |
| 9 | Peru | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 6:21 | -15 | 12 |
| 10 | Chile | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 |
Promotion ~ World Championship
Promotion ~ World Championship (Promotion: )
