Monaco vs Nice, French Ligue 1 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Monaco - Nice
05/10/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 7
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
Ligue 1 Pass
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Nova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 4, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Chances of winning


Monaco
52.4%
Draw
24.3%
Nice
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 22.7% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 22.1% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Monaco - Nice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.68)
    3.98
    (4.2)
    4.07
    (4.62)
    4%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Monaco - Nice?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Monaco (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Monaco will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 2.
    • Monaco has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nice is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Monaco is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Monaco: Golovin A. (Muscle Injury) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Kehrer T. (Red Card) Mawissa C. (Muscle Injury) Michal L. (International duty) Pogba P. (Lacking Match Fitness) Vanderson (Injury) Zakaria D. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bernardeau G. (Inactive) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monaco: Bamba A. (Hamstring Injury) Camara L. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Nice were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Monaco - Nice 2:1
    27.10.2024 Nice - Monaco 2:1
    11.02.2024 Nice - Monaco 2:3
    22.09.2023 Monaco - Nice 0:1
    26.02.2023 Monaco - Nice 0:3
    Latest results of Monaco
    01.10.2025 Monaco - Manchester City 2:2
    27.09.2025 Lorient - Monaco 3:1
    21.09.2025 Monaco - Metz 5:2
    18.09.2025 Club Brugge - Monaco 4:1
    13.09.2025 Auxerre - Monaco 1:2
    Latest results of Nice
    02.10.2025 Fenerbahçe - Nice 2:1
    28.09.2025 Nice - Paris FC 1:1
    24.09.2025 Nice - Roma 1:2
    20.09.2025 Brest - Nice 4:1
    13.09.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Marseille750215:51015
    2PSG650112:4815
    3Lyon65018:3515
    4Lens741210:6413
    5Monaco640214:10412
    6Strasbourg64029:7212
    7Lille631213:9410
    8Paris FC731312:13-110
    9Rennes62317:8-19
    10Brest722311:1108
    11Toulouse62139:11-27
    12Nice62137:10-37
    13Lorient72149:16-77
    14Nantes71335:7-26
    15Auxerre72055:10-56
    16Le Havre61236:8-25
    17Angers61233:6-35
    18Metz70255:16-112

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