Result
2:2
05/10/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 7
- Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 4, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Italy | Ligue 1 Pass, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (448/529) | 69% (187/272) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (448/529) | 69% (187/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (17/31) | 20% (11/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (154/200) | 63% (53/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.98 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 24', Abdi A. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Diop S. ⚽, Cho M. (A),
- 34', Abdi A. 🟨,
- 38', Moffi T. ↓, Peprah K. ↑,
- 42', 0 - 2, Diop S. (Pen),
- 45+5', 1 - 2, Fati A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Coulibaly M. ↓, Balogun F. ↑,
- 51', Bombito M. 🟨,
- 56', Bombito M. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 2, Fati A. (Pen),
- 69', Biereth M. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
- 70', Ouattara K. ↓, Caio Henrique ↑,
- 70', Minamino T. ↓, Idumbo S. ↑,
- 71', Salisu M. 🟨,
- 71', Boudaoui H. ↓, Abdul Samed S. ↑,
- 72', Cho M. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
- 72', Diop S. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monaco
49.9% | Draw
25.1% | Nice
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monaco's form might have worsened.Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Monaco - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.68) |
3.85 ↓
(4.2) |
3.84 ↓
(4.62) |
3.8%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Monaco - Nice?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Monaco (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Monaco will win
(34 of 42 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.07% – 92.83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monaco will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 2.
- In recent matches, Monaco has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nice's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Monaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Monaco is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Monaco: Golovin A.
(Muscle Injury)
Hradecky L.
(Knee Injury)
Kehrer T.
(Red Card)
Mawissa C.
(Muscle Injury)
Michal L.
(International duty)
Pogba P.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Vanderson
(Injury)
Zakaria D.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Knee Injury)
Bernardeau G.
(Inactive)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Knee Injury)
Ndombele T.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Monaco: Bamba A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Camara L.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Nice?
Monaco has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Monaco?
Nice has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Nice were as follows:
29.03.2025
Monaco
-
Nice
2:1
27.10.2024
Nice
-
Monaco
2:1
11.02.2024
Nice
-
Monaco
2:3
22.09.2023
Monaco
-
Nice
0:1
26.02.2023
Monaco
-
Nice
0:3
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Nantes | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
