Monaco vs Nice, French Ligue 1 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
2:2
05/10/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 7
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Nova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 4, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
italyItalyLigue 1 Pass, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.011.10
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
85% (448/529)69% (187/272)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.011.10
xG on target (xGOT)
2.561.02
Total shots
209
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
3914
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
910
Passes
85% (448/529)69% (187/272)
Long passes
55% (17/31)20% (11/55)
Passes in final third
77% (154/200)63% (53/84)
Crosses
27% (7/26)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
2.100.37
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
109
Tackles
50% (6/12)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4642
Clearances
1438
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
1.022.56
Goals prevented
-0.980.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 24', Abdi A. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Diop S. ⚽, Cho M. (A),
  • 34', Abdi A. 🟨,
  • 38', Moffi T. ↓, Peprah K. ↑,
  • 42', 0 - 2, Diop S. (Pen),
  • 45+5', 1 - 2, Fati A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Coulibaly M. ↓, Balogun F. ↑,
  • 51', Bombito M. 🟨,
  • 56', Bombito M. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
  • 56', 2 - 2, Fati A. (Pen),
  • 69', Biereth M. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
  • 70', Ouattara K. ↓, Caio Henrique ↑,
  • 70', Minamino T. ↓, Idumbo S. ↑,
  • 71', Salisu M. 🟨,
  • 71', Boudaoui H. ↓, Abdul Samed S. ↑,
  • 72', Cho M. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
  • 72', Diop S. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Monaco
49.9%		Draw
25.1%		Nice
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 22.7% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 22.1% 20.1%

Monaco - Nice Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.93 ↑
(1.68)		 3.85 ↓
(4.2)		 3.84 ↓
(4.62)		 3.8%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Monaco - Nice?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Nice (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Monaco (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Monaco (3.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Monaco (3.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Monaco (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Monaco (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Monaco (2.08) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Monaco will win (34 of 42 users predict this - 80.95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.07% – 92.83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monaco will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Monaco (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Nice (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 2.
    • In recent matches, Monaco has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nice's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Monaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Monaco is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Monaco: Golovin A. (Muscle Injury) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Kehrer T. (Red Card) Mawissa C. (Muscle Injury) Michal L. (International duty) Pogba P. (Lacking Match Fitness) Vanderson (Injury) Zakaria D. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bernardeau G. (Inactive) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monaco: Bamba A. (Hamstring Injury) Camara L. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Nice were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Monaco - Nice 2:1
    27.10.2024 Nice - Monaco 2:1
    11.02.2024 Nice - Monaco 2:3
    22.09.2023 Monaco - Nice 0:1
    26.02.2023 Monaco - Nice 0:3
    Latest results of Monaco
    01.10.2025 Monaco - Manchester City 2:2 ✺
    27.09.2025 Lorient - Monaco 3:1 ✺
    21.09.2025 Monaco - Metz 5:2 ✺
    18.09.2025 Club Brugge - Monaco 4:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Auxerre - Monaco 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Nice
    02.10.2025 Fenerbahçe - Nice 2:1 ✺
    28.09.2025 Nice - Paris FC 1:1 ✺
    24.09.2025 Nice - Roma 1:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Brest - Nice 4:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens18141332:131943
    2PSG18133240:152542
    3Marseille18112541:192235
    4Lyon18103527:18933
    5Lille18102633:25832
    6Rennes1887330:25531
    7Strasbourg1883728:22627
    8Toulouse1875629:23626
    9Monaco1872928:33-523
    10Brest1864824:29-522
    11Angers1864820:25-522
    12Lorient1857623:30-722
    13Paris FC1854924:32-819
    14Le Havre1847716:24-819
    15Nice18531021:35-1418
    16Nantes18351017:30-1314
    17Auxerre18331214:28-1412
    18Metz18331219:40-2112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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