Result
1:2
10/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne, hard - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 France | beIN Sports MAX 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 38% | 59% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (21/30) | 70% (30/43) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 60% (18/30) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 50% (2/4) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (13/43) | 30% (9/30) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (12/30) | 49% (24/49) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 67% (4/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (46/79) | 66% (48/73) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (25/73) | 42% (33/79) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (71/152) | 53% (81/152) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 85% (11/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 31% (4/13) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 58% (15/26) |
Chances of winning
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
54.7% | Hugo Gaston
45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Hugo Gaston Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73
(1.73) |
|
2.06 ↑
(2) |
6.6%
(7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Hugo Gaston?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Budkov Kjaer (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 149. Gaston is ranked ATP: 101.
- Budkov Kjaer is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Gaston's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Budkov Kjaer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Budkov Kjaer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Nicolai Budkov Kjaer won against Hugo Gaston?
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hugo Gaston won against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Hugo Gaston has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Hugo Gaston were as follows:
23.09.2025
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
-
Hugo Gaston
2:0
Latest results of Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Latest results of Hugo Gaston
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Fearnley J. (1) | van Assche L. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Stricker D. (Q) | Rodesch C. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Dodig M. (NG) | Eubanks C. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Gueymard Wayenburg S. | Passaro F. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Misolic F. (3) | Bernet H. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Sachko V. | Budkov Kjaer N. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Gojo B. (Alt) | Chidekh C. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Durasovic V. (Q) | Gaston H. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Karol M. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Galarneau A. | Martineau M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Brunold M. (Q) | Engel J. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Sakellaridis S. (Q) | Struff J-L. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Blockx A. (7) | Sels J. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Paris T. (WC) | Virtanen O. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Glinka D. (Q) | Hemery C. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Added D. (WC) | Thompson J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fearnley J. (1) | Stricker D. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Dodig M. | Passaro F. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Bernet H. | Budkov Kjaer N. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Gojo B. | Gaston H. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Karol M. | Martineau M. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Brunold M. | Sakellaridis S. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Blockx A. (7) | Virtanen O. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Hemery C. | Thompson J. (RET.) (2) | 0 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Stricker D. (RET.) | Dodig M. | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Budkov Kjaer N. | Gaston H. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Martineau M. | Brunold M. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Virtanen O. | Hemery C. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Dodig M. | Gaston H. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Martineau M. | Virtanen O. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Gaston H. (5) | Virtanen O. | 1 : 2 |
