Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Pablo Carreno-Busta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
20/11/2024 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montemar (Spain), clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
36
1st Serve Percentage
69%57%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (57/90)71% (44/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
49% (20/41)46% (21/46)
Break Points Saved
79% (11/14)50% (5/10)
1st Return Points Won
29% (18/62)37% (33/90)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (24/46)51% (21/41)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)21% (3/14)
Service Points Won
59% (77/131)61% (65/107)
Return Points Won
39% (42/107)41% (54/131)
Total Points Won
50% (119/238)50% (119/238)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)69% (11/16)
Return Games Won
31% (5/16)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
56% (18/32)44% (14/32)

Chances of winning


Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
25%
Pablo Carreno-Busta
75%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 66.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Carreno-Busta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.67
    (3.15)

    1.26
    (1.31)
    6.9%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 663. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 199.
    • Budkov Kjaer is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Carreno Busta is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Carreno Busta is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Palosi S. (Q)2 : 0
    2Gakhov I.Andreev A. (PR)2 : 0
    3Sanchez Jover C.Damas M.0 : 2
    4Moroni F. (Q)Giustino L. (6)0 : 2
    5Merida Aguilar D. (4)Garcia Garcia A. (WC)2 : 0
    6Piraino G.Burdet A. (WC)2 : 0
    7Michalski D.Cadenasso G. (Q)1 : 2
    8Gulin S. (Q)Tabur C. (5)1 : 2
    9Kolar Z. (7)Barranco Cosano J.2 : 0
    10Sanchez Izquierdo N.Agamenone F.2 : 0
    11Butvilas E.Alcala Gurri M. (Q)0 : 2
    12Pereira T.Moller E. (3)1 : 2
    13Blancaneaux G. (8)Santamarta Roig A. (WC)0 : 2
    14Nedic A. (Alt)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    15Cretu C. (Q)Bondioli F. (LL)2 : 0
    16Jianu F. C.Trungelliti M. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Gakhov I.
    2Damas M.Giustino L. (6)0 : 2
    3Merida Aguilar D. (4)Piraino G.
    4Cadenasso G.Tabur C. (5)
    5Kolar Z. (7)Sanchez Izquierdo N.
    6Alcala Gurri M.Moller E. (3)
    7Santamarta Roig A.Nedic A.
    8Cretu C.Trungelliti M. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1Giustino L. (6)
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2