Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Bastad Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Result
2:1
14/07/2025 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Bastad - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
72%70%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (61/87)75% (43/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (16/34)56% (14/25)
Break Points Saved
73% (8/11)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
25% (14/57)30% (26/87)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (11/25)53% (18/34)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)27% (3/11)
Winners
3334
Unforced Errors
4037
Net Points Won
60% (15/25)86% (18/21)
Service Points Won
63% (76/120)69% (56/81)
Return Points Won
31% (25/81)37% (44/120)
Total Points Won
50% (101/201)50% (100/201)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
50% (15/30)50% (15/30)

Chances of winning


Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
36.7%
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 52.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolai Budkov Kjaer's form might have worsened.
  • Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pablo Llamas Ruiz's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Llamas Ruiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.03)

    1.49
    (1.66)
    5.9%
    (9.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 303. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 573.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Budkov Kjaer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Barrios Vera T.Navone M.0 : 2
    3Gaston H.Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    4Ofner S.Dzumhur D. (7)0 : 2
    5Baez S. (4)Bye
    6Monteiro T. (Q)Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)1 : 2
    7Ymer E. (WC)Boyer T.2 : 1
    8Collignon R.Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Garin C.2 : 0
    10Ymer M. (WC)Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    11Misolic F. (Q)Moller E.2 : 1
    12ByeBorges N. (3)
    13Kopriva V. (8)Dellien H. (RET.)1 : 0
    14Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (WC)De Jong J.0 : 2
    15Pellegrino A. (Q)Faria J.2 : 1
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Gaston H.Dzumhur D. (7)1 : 2
    3Baez S. (4)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 1
    4Ymer E.Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    6Misolic F.Borges N. (3)2 : 1
    7Kopriva V. (8)De Jong J.0 : 2
    8Pellegrino A.Griekspoor T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Dzumhur D. (7)2 : 1
    2Baez S. (4)Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Misolic F.2 : 0
    4De Jong J.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    2Ugo Carabelli C. (5)De Jong J.0 : 2

    Final
    1Darderi L. (6)De Jong J.2 : 1