Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
18/01/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Aces
323
Double Faults
34
1st serve percentage
71%76%
1st serve points won
68% (39/57)95% (52/55)
2nd serve points won
48% (11/23)59% (10/17)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)100% (2/2)
Average 1st serve speed
181 km/h208 km/h
Average 2nd serve speed
146 km/h195 km/h
1st return points won
11% (6/55)32% (18/57)
2nd return points won
41% (7/17)52% (12/23)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/2)75% (3/4)
Winners
1145
Unforced errors
1840
Net points won
78% (7/9)93% (13/14)
Service Points Won
63% (50/80)86% (61/71)
Return Points Won
14% (10/71)38% (30/80)
Total Points Won
40% (60/151)60% (91/151)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
79% (11/14)100% (15/15)
Return games won
0% (0/15)21% (3/14)
Total games won
38% (11/29)62% (18/29)

Chances of winning


Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
39.5%
Reilly Opelka
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 64.3%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Reilly Opelka Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.39
(2.52)

1.58
(1.59)
5.1%
(2.6%)
What is the prediction for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Reilly Opelka?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Budkov Kjaer will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Opelka will win (votes: 23 - 88.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Opelka: 76.2%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +2.5 Games - Opelka (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 42.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Reilly Opelka will win (19 of 19 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Opelka (votes: 21 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 135. Opelka is ranked ATP: 62.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Opelka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Opelka could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Reilly Opelka
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Walton A.3 : 0
    2Hanfmann Y.Svajda Z. (Q)3 : 1
    3Zheng M. (Q)Korda S.3 : 2
    4Schoolkate T.Moutet C. (32)0 : 3
    5Paul T. (19)Kovacevic A.3 : 0
    6Tirante T. A.Vukic A.3 : 0
    7Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R.0 : 3
    8Misolic F.Davidovich Fokina A. (14)0 : 3
    9Bublik A. (10)Brooksby J.3 : 0
    10Ugo Carabelli C.Fucsovics M.0 : 3
    11Kecmanovic M.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 3
    12Fery A. (Q)Cobolli F. (20)3 : 0
    13Tiafoe F. (29)Kubler J. (Q)3 : 0
    14Kypson P. (WC)Comesana F.1 : 3
    15Navone M.Medjedovic H.1 : 3
    16McDonald M. (LL)De Minaur A. (6)0 : 3
    17Zverev A. (3)Diallo G.3 : 1
    18Popyrin A.Muller A.2 : 3
    19Nava E.Jacquet K. (WC)3 : 2
    20Bonzi B.Norrie C. (26)2 : 3
    21Cerundolo F. (18)Zhang Z.3 : 0
    22Draxl L. (Q)Dzumhur D.0 : 3
    23Blockx A. (LL)Faria J. (Q)1 : 3
    24Arnaldi M.Rublev A. (13)0 : 3
    25Medvedev D. (11)De Jong J.3 : 0
    26Halys Q.Tabilo A.3 : 0
    27Majchrzak K.Fearnley J.3 : 1
    28Marozsan F.Rinderknech A. (24)3 : 1
    29Tien L. (25)Giron M.3 : 2
    30Ymer E. (Q)Shevchenko A.1 : 3
    31Cerundolo J. M.Thompson J. (WC)1 : 3
    32Borges N.Auger-Aliassime F. (RET.) (7)2 : 1
    33Musetti L. (5)Collignon R. (RET.)2 : 1
    34Sonego L.Taberner C.3 : 0
    35Dimitrov G.Machac T.0 : 3
    36Mochizuki S.Tsitsipas S. (31)1 : 3
    37Lehecka J. (17)Gea A. (Q)0 : 3
    38Djere L.Wawrinka S. (WC)1 : 3
    39Kopriva V.Struff J-L.3 : 2
    40Royer V.Fritz T. (9)1 : 3
    41Mensik J. (16)Carreno-Busta P.3 : 2
    42Sakamoto R. (Q)Jodar R. (Q)2 : 3
    43Hurkacz H.Bergs Z.3 : 1
    44Quinn E.Griekspoor T. (23)3 : 0
    45Nakashima B. (27)Van De Zandschulp B.1 : 3
    46Shang J.Bautista-Agut R.3 : 1
    47Atmane T.Maestrelli F. (Q)2 : 3
    48Martinez P.Djokovic N. (4)0 : 3
    49Shelton B. (8)Humbert U.3 : 0
    50Sweeny D. (Q)Monfils G.3 : 1
    51Mannarino A.Hijikata R. (WC)0 : 3
    52Damm M. (Q)Vacherot V. (30)0 : 3
    53Shapovalov D. (21)Bu Y. (WC)3 : 0
    54Altmaier D.Cilic M.0 : 3
    55Munar J.Svrcina D.3 : 2
    56Bellucci M.Ruud C. (12)0 : 3
    57Khachanov K. (15)Michelsen A.3 : 2
    58O'Connell C. (WC)Basavareddy N. (Q)2 : 3
    59Mpetshi Perricard G.Baez S.2 : 3
    60Garin C.Darderi L. (22)0 : 3
    61Fonseca J. (28)Spizzirri E.1 : 3
    62Nardi L.Wu Y. (Q)1 : 3
    63Duckworth J. (WC)Prizmic D. (LL)3 : 2
    64Gaston H. (RET.)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Hanfmann Y.3 : 0
    2Zheng M. (RET.)Moutet C. (32)1 : 2
    3Paul T. (19)Tirante T. A.3 : 0
    4Opelka R.Davidovich Fokina A. (14)2 : 3
    5Bublik A. (10)Fucsovics M.3 : 0
    6Etcheverry T. M.Fery A.3 : 0
    7Tiafoe F. (29)Comesana F.3 : 1
    8Medjedovic H.De Minaur A. (6)1 : 3
    9Zverev A. (3)Muller A.3 : 1
    10Nava E.Norrie C. (26)1 : 3
    11Cerundolo F. (18)Dzumhur D.3 : 0
    12Faria J.Rublev A. (13)1 : 3
    13Medvedev D. (11)Halys Q.3 : 1
    14Majchrzak K.Marozsan F.0 : 3
    15Tien L. (25)Shevchenko A.3 : 1
    16Thompson J.Borges N.1 : 3
    17Musetti L. (5)Sonego L.3 : 0
    18Machac T.Tsitsipas S. (31)3 : 1
    19Gea A.Wawrinka S.2 : 3
    20Kopriva V.Fritz T. (9)0 : 3
    21Mensik J. (16)Jodar R.3 : 0
    22Hurkacz H.Quinn E.0 : 3
    23Van De Zandschulp B.Shang J.3 : 0
    24Maestrelli F.Djokovic N. (4)0 : 3
    25Shelton B. (8)Sweeny D.3 : 0
    26Hijikata R.Vacherot V. (30)1 : 3
    27Shapovalov D. (21)Cilic M.0 : 3
    28Munar J.Ruud C. (12)0 : 3
    29Khachanov K. (15)Basavareddy N.3 : 0
    30Baez S.Darderi L. (22)1 : 3
    31Spizzirri E.Wu Y.3 : 2
    32Duckworth J.Sinner J. (2)0 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Moutet C. (32)3 : 0
    2Paul T. (19)Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (14)2 : 0
    3Bublik A. (10)Etcheverry T. M.3 : 0
    4Tiafoe F. (29)De Minaur A. (6)0 : 3
    5Zverev A. (3)Norrie C. (26)3 : 1
    6Cerundolo F. (18)Rublev A. (13)3 : 0
    7Medvedev D. (11)Marozsan F.3 : 2
    8Tien L. (25)Borges N.3 : 0
    9Musetti L. (5)Machac T.3 : 2
    10Wawrinka S.Fritz T. (9)1 : 3
    11Mensik J. (16)Quinn E.3 : 0
    12Van De Zandschulp B.Djokovic N. (4)0 : 3
    13Shelton B. (8)Vacherot V. (30)3 : 0
    14Cilic M.Ruud C. (12)1 : 3
    15Khachanov K. (15)Darderi L. (22)1 : 3
    16Spizzirri E.Sinner J. (2)1 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Paul T. (19)3 : 0
    2Bublik A. (10)De Minaur A. (6)0 : 3
    3Zverev A. (3)Cerundolo F. (18)3 : 0
    4Medvedev D. (11)Tien L. (25)0 : 3
    5Musetti L. (5)Fritz T. (9)3 : 0
    6Mensik J. (16)Djokovic N. (WO.) (4)
    7Shelton B. (8)Ruud C. (12)3 : 1
    8Darderi L. (22)Sinner J. (2)0 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)De Minaur A. (6)3 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Tien L. (25)3 : 1
    3Musetti L. (RET.) (5)Djokovic N. (4)2 : 0
    4Shelton B. (8)Sinner J. (2)0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Zverev A. (3)3 : 2
    2Djokovic N. (4)Sinner J. (2)3 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Djokovic N. (4)3 : 1