Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Alvaro Guillen Meza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Troyes Challenger Men Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Alvaro Guillen Meza
Result
2:1
03/07/2024 at 04:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes (France), clay - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Dewilde G. (Fra)

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
104
1st Serve Percentage
59%56%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (37/48)74% (29/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (15/34)45% (14/31)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)29% (2/7)
1st Return Points Won
26% (10/39)25% (12/48)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (17/31)56% (19/34)
Break Points Converted
71% (5/7)75% (3/4)
Max Points In Row
76
Service Points Won
63% (52/82)61% (43/70)
Return Points Won
39% (27/70)37% (30/82)
Total Points Won
52% (79/152)48% (73/152)
Max Games In Row
53
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)62% (8/13)
Return Games Won
38% (5/13)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
59% (16/27)41% (11/27)

Chances of winning


Nicolas Alvarez Varona
38.4%
Alvaro Guillen Meza
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 52.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Alvarez Varona's form might have worsened.
  • Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alvaro Guillen Meza's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alvaro Guillen Meza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Alvaro Guillen Meza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.01)

    1.53
    (1.72)
    7.1%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Alvaro Guillen Meza?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Guillen Meza will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alvarez Varona: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Alvarez Varona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Guillen Meza in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Alvarez Varona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Our prediction for today's Guillen Meza to win the game is with odds 1.71.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Nicolas Alvarez Varona
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Bax F. (Alt)2 : 1
    2Martineau M.Paire B. (WC)2 : 0
    3Sanchez Izquierdo N.Michalski D.2 : 1
    4Rolland de Ravel C. (Q)Reis Da Silva J. (6)2 : 1
    5Choinski J. (3)Papamalamis T. (WC)2 : 0
    6Djuric B. (Q)Denolly C.2 : 0
    7Gea A.Barrere G.2 : 1
    8Mayot H. (Q)Tabur C. (5)2 : 1
    9Giustino L. (8)Lamasine T. (Q)0 : 2
    10Visker N. (Q)Gombos N.0 : 2
    11Berrettini J.Rosenkranz M.2 : 0
    12Faurel T. (WC)Skatov T. (4)2 : 1
    13Sharipov M. (7)Barranco Cosano J.0 : 2
    14Zink T.Sels J.0 : 2
    15Ymer M. (RET.) (Q)Brunold M.1 : 1
    16Ivanovski K. (PR)Hemery C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Martineau M.2 : 1
    2Sanchez Izquierdo N.Rolland de Ravel C.2 : 0
    3Choinski J. (3)Djuric B.2 : 0
    4Gea A.Mayot H.1 : 2
    5Lamasine T.Gombos N.1 : 2
    6Berrettini J.Faurel T.2 : 1
    7Barranco Cosano J.Sels J.2 : 0
    8Brunold M.Hemery C. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Sanchez Izquierdo N.2 : 0
    2Choinski J. (3)Mayot H.2 : 0
    3Gombos N.Berrettini J.0 : 2
    4Barranco Cosano J.Hemery C. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Choinski J. (3)1 : 2
    2Berrettini J.Hemery C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Choinski J. (3)Hemery C. (2)2 : 1