Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Gabriele Pennaforti – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Murcia Challenger Men Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gabriele Pennaforti
Result
2:1
18/03/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
17
Double Faults
37
1st Serve Percentage
62%72%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (50/64)64% (44/69)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (19/40)52% (14/27)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)63% (5/8)
1st Return Points Won
36% (25/69)22% (14/64)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (13/27)53% (21/40)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)33% (1/3)
Service Points Won
66% (69/104)60% (58/96)
Return Points Won
40% (38/96)34% (35/104)
Total Points Won
54% (107/200)47% (93/200)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
94% (15/16)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)6% (1/16)
Total Games Won
60% (18/30)40% (12/30)

Chances of winning


Nicolas Alvarez Varona
62.9%
Gabriele Pennaforti
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 37.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Gabriele Pennaforti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gabriele Pennaforti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.56)

    2.49
    (2.33)
    8.2%
    (7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 303. Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 433.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Alvarez Varona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Alvarez Varona will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Nicolas Alvarez Varona
    Latest results of Gabriele Pennaforti
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fucsovics M. (1)Rocha H.2 : 0
    2Blanchet U.Hassan B.1 : 2
    3Taberner C.Gaubas V.2 : 1
    4Merida Aguilar D. (Q)Cilic M. (7)2 : 0
    5Ofner S. (4)Coppejans K. (PR)1 : 2
    6Moller E.Damas M. (Q)2 : 1
    7Rincon D.Pennaforti G. (LL)2 : 0
    8Llamas Ruiz P. (WC)Nagal S. (5)2 : 0
    9Jacquet K. (8)Alvarez Varona N. (Q)2 : 0
    10Yevseyev D. (Alt)Engel J. (Q)2 : 1
    11Barranco Cosano J.Budkov Kjaer N.0 : 2
    12Gakhov I. (WC)Carreno-Busta P. (3)2 : 0
    13Mayot H. (6)Butvilas E.2 : 1
    14Ramos A.Zapata Miralles B. (WC)2 : 1
    15Vacherot V. (Q)Brancaccio R. (Q)2 : 1
    16Pellegrino A.De Jong J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fucsovics M. (1)Hassan B.2 : 0
    2Taberner C.Merida Aguilar D.2 : 0
    3Coppejans K.Moller E.2 : 0
    4Rincon D.Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    5Jacquet K. (RET.) (8)Yevseyev D.1 : 1
    6Budkov Kjaer N.Gakhov I.0 : 2
    7Mayot H. (6)Ramos A.2 : 1
    8Vacherot V.De Jong J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fucsovics M. (1)Taberner C.1 : 2
    2Coppejans K.Llamas Ruiz P.2 : 0
    3Yevseyev D.Gakhov I.1 : 2
    4Mayot H. (6)De Jong J. (WO.) (2)

    Semi-finals
    1Taberner C.Coppejans K.2 : 1
    2Gakhov I.De Jong J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Taberner C.De Jong J. (2)2 : 1