Result
1:2
29/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 54% | 59% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (30/44) | 82% (36/44) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (19/37) | 52% (16/31) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 60% (3/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 20% (9/44) | 32% (14/44) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (15/31) | 49% (18/37) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 44% (4/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (49/82) | 69% (52/75) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (23/75) | 40% (33/82) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (72/157) | 54% (85/157) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 85% (11/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 29% (4/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 44% (12/27) | 56% (15/27) |
Chances of winning
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
46.4% | Gilles Arnaud Bailly
53.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gilles Arnaud Bailly, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.87) |
|
1.75 ↓
(1.87) |
6.8%
(7%) | |
What is the prediction for Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gilles Arnaud Bailly?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bailly will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 282. Bailly is ranked ATP: 341.
- Alvarez Varona is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bailly's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Alvarez Varona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Nicolas Alvarez Varona won against Gilles Arnaud Bailly?
Nicolas Alvarez Varona has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gilles Arnaud Bailly won against Nicolas Alvarez Varona?
Gilles Arnaud Bailly has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gilles Arnaud Bailly were as follows:
Latest results of Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Latest results of Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Seyboth Wild T. (1) | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Pereira T. | Dodig M. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Wallin O. (Q) | Moro Canas A. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Hernandez A. (Alt) | Olivieri G. A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Barrena A. (4) | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Alvarez Varona N. | Strombachs R. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Bailly G. A. (NG) | Mrva M. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Araujo P. (WC) | Ymer E. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | Alcala Gurri M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Torres T. (Q) | Barton H. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Jorda Sanchis D. (Q) | Pieczonka F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Brunold M. | Rocha H. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Popko D. (6) | Kuzmanov D. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Michalski D. | Sanchez Jover C. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Rocha F. (WC) | McKennon M. (RET.) (Q) | 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Poljicak M. | Den Ouden G. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Dodig M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Moro Canas A. | Olivieri G. A. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Barrena A. (4) | Alvarez Varona N. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bailly G. A. | Araujo P. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | Torres T. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Jorda Sanchis D. | Brunold M. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Kuzmanov D. | Michalski D. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Rocha F. | Den Ouden G. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Moro Canas A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Alvarez Varona N. | Bailly G. A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | Jorda Sanchis D. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Michalski D. | Den Ouden G. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Moro Canas A. | Bailly G. A. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | Den Ouden G. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Bailly G. A. | Den Ouden G. (2) | 0 : 2 |
