Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Jurij Rodionov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Poznan Challenger Men Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Jurij Rodionov
Result
1:2
17/06/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
37
Double Faults
65
1st Serve Percentage
63%43%
1st Serve Points Won
55% (30/55)73% (24/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (15/32)48% (21/44)
Break Points Saved
54% (7/13)43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
27% (9/33)45% (25/55)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (23/44)53% (17/32)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)46% (6/13)
Service Points Won
52% (45/87)58% (45/77)
Return Points Won
42% (32/77)48% (42/87)
Total Points Won
47% (77/164)53% (87/164)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
54% (7/13)69% (9/13)
Return Games Won
31% (4/13)46% (6/13)
Total Games Won
42% (11/26)58% (15/26)

Chances of winning


Nicolas Alvarez Varona
44.1%
Jurij Rodionov
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Jurij Rodionov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2)

    1.67
    (1.73)
    6.8%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Jurij Rodionov?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rodionov (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Jurij Rodionov will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 305. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 206.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Rodionov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Jurij Rodionov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Garin C. (1)Vatutin A. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Wazny A. (WC)Nagal S.1 : 2
    3Mrva M. (Q)Molleker R. (Q)2 : 0
    4Zakaria F. (WC)Krumich M. (Q)0 : 2
    5Misolic F. (4)Kasnikowski M.2 : 0
    6Poljicak M.Kolar Z. (Q)0 : 2
    7Berkieta T. (WC)Michalski D. (Alt)0 : 2
    8Alvarez Varona N. (LL)Rodionov J. (7)1 : 2
    9Skatov T. (9)Albot R.2 : 0
    10Barton H. (LL)Kodat T. (Q)2 : 0
    11Dedura D. (Q)Martineau M.0 : 2
    12Squire H.Svrcina D. (3)0 : 2
    13Mena F. (RET.) (8)Vallejo D.0 : 1
    14Vacherot V.Giustino L.0 : 2
    15Durasovic V.Ferreira Silva F.2 : 0
    16Yevseyev D.Tirante T. A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Garin C. (1)Nagal S.2 : 1
    2Mrva M.Krumich M.1 : 2
    3Misolic F. (4)Kolar Z.2 : 0
    4Michalski D.Rodionov J. (7)0 : 2
    5Skatov T. (9)Barton H.0 : 2
    6Martineau M.Svrcina D. (3)0 : 2
    7Vallejo D.Giustino L.1 : 2
    8Durasovic V.Tirante T. A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Garin C. (1)Krumich M.2 : 0
    2Misolic F. (4)Rodionov J. (7)2 : 0
    3Barton H.Svrcina D. (3)0 : 2
    4Giustino L.Tirante T. A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Garin C. (1)Misolic F. (4)0 : 2
    2Svrcina D. (3)Tirante T. A. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Misolic F. (4)Svrcina D. (3)2 : 0