Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Lucas Gerch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Marburg Men Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Lucas Gerch
Result
2:0
03/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Marburg, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
91

Chances of winning


Nicolas Alvarez Varona
66.4%
Lucas Gerch
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.5% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Lucas Gerch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Gerch than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Lucas Gerch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.45)

    2.78
    (2.63)
    7%
    (7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 307. Gerch is ranked ATP: 560.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Alvarez Varona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Alvarez Varona could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Lucas Gerch
    02.07.2025 Lucas Gerch - Aryan Shah Shah A. retired
    22.06.2025 Lucas Gerch - Tadeo Meneo 2:0
    18.06.2025 Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Lucas Gerch Olivieri G. A. retired
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Alvarez Varona N. (1)Ejupovic E.2 : 0
    2Gerch L.Shah A. (RET.)1 : 1
    3Al Azmeh T.Marysko V.2 : 0
    4Handel T.Kopp S. (6)1 : 2
    5Dedura D. (4)Brunclik P.1 : 2
    6Broska F.Fajta P. (RET.)1 : 0
    7Nesterov P.Recek D.2 : 1
    8Agwi M.Wiskandt M. (8)2 : 1
    9Neuchrist M. (7)Planinsek F. J.1 : 2
    10Filip J.Schiessl J. E.0 : 2
    11Lopez Morillo I.Sanchez Martinez B.2 : 0
    12Hardt N.Molleker R. (3)2 : 0
    13Dutra Da Silva D. (5)Vanshelboim E.2 : 0
    14Masur D.Kelm Y.2 : 0
    15Fomin S.Sickenberger T.2 : 0
    16Poertner L.Bertola R. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alvarez Varona N. (1)Gerch L.2 : 0
    2Al Azmeh T.Kopp S. (6)0 : 2
    3Brunclik P.Broska F.0 : 2
    4Nesterov P.Agwi M.0 : 2
    5Planinsek F. J.Schiessl J. E.2 : 0
    6Lopez Morillo I.Hardt N.0 : 2
    7Dutra Da Silva D. (5)Masur D.2 : 0
    8Fomin S.Bertola R. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alvarez Varona N. (1)Kopp S. (6)2 : 0
    2Broska F.Agwi M.2 : 0
    3Planinsek F. J.Hardt N.2 : 1
    4Dutra Da Silva D. (5)Bertola R. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Alvarez Varona N. (1)Broska F.1 : 2
    2Planinsek F. J.Dutra Da Silva D. (5)2 : 0

    Final
    1Broska F.Planinsek F. J.1 : 2