Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolas Alvarez Varona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Milan Challenger Men Maks Kasnikowski - Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Result
0:2
26/06/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
15
1st Serve Percentage
56%62%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (22/38)73% (35/48)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (13/30)30% (9/30)
Break Points Saved
40% (4/10)38% (3/8)
1st Return Points Won
31% (15/48)45% (17/38)
2nd Return Points Won
70% (21/30)57% (17/30)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)60% (6/10)
Max Points In Row
65
Service Points Won
51% (34/67)56% (42/75)
Return Points Won
44% (33/75)49% (33/67)
Total Points Won
47% (67/142)53% (75/142)
Max Games In Row
24
Service Games Won
45% (5/11)55% (6/11)
Return Games Won
45% (5/11)55% (6/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Maks Kasnikowski
75.9%
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maks Kasnikowski's performance.
  • Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Alvarez Varona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maks Kasnikowski that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Alvarez Varona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Maks Kasnikowski - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.42)

    3.87
    (2.68)
    6.6%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Maks Kasnikowski - Nicolas Alvarez Varona?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Kasnikowski will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kasnikowski: 80.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kasnikowski in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Alvarez Varona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Kasnikowski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Kasnikowski is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Kasnikowski won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    Latest results of Maks Kasnikowski
    Latest results of Nicolas Alvarez Varona
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Piraino G. (WC)2 : 0
    2Berrettini J. (Q)Squire H. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Erhard M.Negritu Ch.1 : 2
    4Martin A.Gakhov I. (8)1 : 2
    5Soto M. (4)Pereira T. (LL)1 : 2
    6Jodar R. (JR)Giustino L.2 : 0
    7Dedura D. (NG)Gea A.0 : 2
    8Roca Batalla O. (Alt)Pacheco Mendez R. (5)2 : 1
    9Ferreira Silva F. (6)Vatutin A. (RET.)1 : 0
    10Cecchinato M. (WC)Alcala Gurri M. (Q)2 : 0
    11Faurel T. (Q)Bondioli F. (Q)2 : 1
    12Fonio G. (Q)Houkes M. (3)1 : 2
    13Poljicak M. (7)Travaglia S.2 : 1
    14Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Vasami J. (WC)0 : 2
    15Prihodko O. (Alt)Albot R.2 : 0
    16Mikrut L.Coppejans K. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    2Negritu Ch.Gakhov I. (8)2 : 0
    3Pereira T.Jodar R.1 : 2
    4Gea A.Roca Batalla O.2 : 1
    5Ferreira Silva F. (6)Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    6Faurel T.Houkes M. (3)1 : 2
    7Poljicak M. (7)Vasami J.1 : 2
    8Prihodko O.Mikrut L.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    2Jodar R.Gea A.2 : 1
    3Cecchinato M.Houkes M. (3)2 : 0
    4Vasami J.Mikrut L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Jodar R.2 : 1
    2Cecchinato M.Vasami J.2 : 0

    Final
    1Prizmic D. (1)Cecchinato M.0 : 2