Ryan Nijboer vs Nicolas Alvarez Varona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Madrid Challenger Men Ryan Nijboer - Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Result
2:1
06/04/2025 at 09:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
15
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
55%67%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (45/58)74% (57/77)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (23/48)39% (15/38)
Break Points Saved
50% (5/10)20% (1/5)
1st Return Points Won
26% (20/77)22% (13/58)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (23/38)52% (25/48)
Break Points Converted
80% (4/5)50% (5/10)
Service Points Won
64% (67/105)63% (72/115)
Return Points Won
37% (43/115)36% (38/105)
Total Points Won
50% (110/220)50% (110/220)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
23
Service Games Won
69% (11/16)76% (13/17)
Return Games Won
24% (4/17)31% (5/16)
Total Games Won
45% (15/33)55% (18/33)

Chances of winning


Ryan Nijboer
35.4%
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 69.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ryan Nijboer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Ryan Nijboer - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.81)

    1.44
    (1.39)
    7.7%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Ryan Nijboer - Nicolas Alvarez Varona?
  • Users Predictions: Ryan Nijboer will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nijboer is ranked ATP: 394. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 312.
    • Nijboer is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Alvarez Varona is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nijboer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Alvarez Varona is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Nijboer won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ryan Nijboer - Nicolas Alvarez Varona were as follows:
    21.08.2024 Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Ryan Nijboer 2:1
    17.08.2024 Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Ryan Nijboer 2:1
    Latest results of Ryan Nijboer
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Blockx A.2 : 0
    2Rincon D. (Alt)Piros Z. (Q)1 : 2
    3Holmgren A.Virtanen O.2 : 1
    4Hardt N. (LL)Royer V. (7)0 : 2
    5Harris B. (3)Ofner S.1 : 2
    6Giustino L. (Q)Gaubas V.1 : 2
    7Trungelliti M.Merida Aguilar D. (WC)2 : 0
    8Buse I. (Alt)Cilic M. (8)0 : 2
    9Kotov P. (5)Hassan B.2 : 0
    10Butvilas E.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    11Damas M. (WC)Gombos N. (Q)0 : 2
    12Boyer T.Shevchenko A. (4)0 : 2
    13Carreno-Busta P. (6)Paul J. (Q)2 : 0
    14Hemery C.Zapata Miralles B. (Q)2 : 1
    15Taberner C.Roca Batalla O. (Q)2 : 0
    16Majchrzak K.Dellien H. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Piros Z.1 : 2
    2Holmgren A.Royer V. (7)0 : 2
    3Ofner S.Gaubas V.1 : 2
    4Trungelliti M.Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    5Kotov P. (5)Moro Canas A.2 : 1
    6Gombos N.Shevchenko A. (4)2 : 0
    7Carreno-Busta P. (6)Hemery C.2 : 1
    8Taberner C.Majchrzak K.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Piros Z. (RET.)Royer V. (7)0 : 0
    2Gaubas V.Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    3Kotov P. (5)Gombos N.1 : 2
    4Carreno-Busta P. (6)Majchrzak K.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Royer V. (7)Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    2Gombos N.Majchrzak K.1 : 2

    Final
    1Cilic M. (8)Majchrzak K.1 : 2