Result
2:1
06/04/2025 at 09:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 55% | 67% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 78% (45/58) | 74% (57/77) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (23/48) | 39% (15/38) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 20% (1/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 26% (20/77) | 22% (13/58) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (23/38) | 52% (25/48) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 50% (5/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (67/105) | 63% (72/115) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (43/115) | 36% (38/105) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (110/220) | 50% (110/220) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 76% (13/17) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 31% (5/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 45% (15/33) | 55% (18/33) |
Chances of winning
Ryan Nijboer
35.4% | Nicolas Alvarez Varona
64.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ryan Nijboer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Ryan Nijboer - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↓
(2.81) |
|
1.44 ↑
(1.39) |
7.7%
(7.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Ryan Nijboer - Nicolas Alvarez Varona?
Users Predictions:
Ryan Nijboer will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Nijboer is ranked ATP: 394. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 312.
- Nijboer is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Alvarez Varona is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Nijboer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Alvarez Varona is a favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Nijboer won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ryan Nijboer won against Nicolas Alvarez Varona?
Ryan Nijboer has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nicolas Alvarez Varona won against Ryan Nijboer?
Nicolas Alvarez Varona has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ryan Nijboer - Nicolas Alvarez Varona were as follows:
21.08.2024
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
-
Ryan Nijboer
2:1
17.08.2024
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
-
Ryan Nijboer
2:1
Latest results of Ryan Nijboer
Latest results of Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Coric B. (1) | Blockx A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rincon D. (Alt) | Piros Z. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Holmgren A. | Virtanen O. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Hardt N. (LL) | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Harris B. (3) | Ofner S. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Giustino L. (Q) | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Trungelliti M. | Merida Aguilar D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Buse I. (Alt) | Cilic M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Kotov P. (5) | Hassan B. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Butvilas E. | Moro Canas A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Damas M. (WC) | Gombos N. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Boyer T. | Shevchenko A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Paul J. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Hemery C. | Zapata Miralles B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Taberner C. | Roca Batalla O. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Majchrzak K. | Dellien H. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Coric B. (1) | Piros Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Holmgren A. | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ofner S. | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Trungelliti M. | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Kotov P. (5) | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gombos N. | Shevchenko A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Hemery C. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Taberner C. | Majchrzak K. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Piros Z. (RET.) | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Gaubas V. | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Kotov P. (5) | Gombos N. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Royer V. (7) | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Gombos N. | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Cilic M. (8) | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
