Result
1:2
09/07/2025 at 14:25 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 74% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (39/73) | 61% (39/64) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (14/25) | 52% (22/42) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 40% (4/10) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (25/64) | 47% (34/73) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 44% (11/25) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 60% (6/10) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 27 | 34 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 55 | 62 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (14/25) | 75% (6/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (53/97) | 57% (60/105) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (45/105) | 45% (44/97) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (98/202) | 51% (104/202) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 63% (10/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 40% (6/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 48% (15/31) | 52% (16/31) |
Chances of winning
Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
53.3% | Nicolas Arseneault
46.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Nicolas Arseneault has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Arseneault than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Nicolas Arseneault Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.62) |
|
2.01 ↓
(2.19) |
6.5%
(7.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Nicolas Arseneault?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arseneault (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Nicolas Arseneault will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Aguilar is ranked ATP: 409. Arseneault is ranked ATP: 714.
- Recent performances by Aguilar have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Arseneault is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Aguilar could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aguilar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar won against Nicolas Arseneault?
Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nicolas Arseneault won against Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar?
Nicolas Arseneault has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Nicolas Arseneault were as follows:
05.03.2025
Nicolas Arseneault
-
Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
2:0
24.10.2023
Nicolas Arseneault
-
Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
0:2
Latest results of Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
Latest results of Nicolas Arseneault
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Tudorica A. N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakagawa N. | Sakamoto R. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bouzige M. | Gengel M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sell K. | Shimizu Y. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Shimabukuro S. (3) | Langmo C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Johns G. | Chung H. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Riedi L. (Q) | Jubb P. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Boulais J. (WC) | Hsu Y. H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Mejia N. (8) | Andrade A. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Glinka D. (Q) | Imamura M. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Zhou Y. | Wu Tung-Lin | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Martin A. | Galarneau A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Noguchi R. (6) | Ilagan A. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Aguilar J. C. M. (WC) | Arseneault N. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Miyoshi K. | Sekulic P. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Moriya H. (Q) | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Sakamoto R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bouzige M. | Shimizu Y. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Shimabukuro S. (3) | Johns G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Jubb P. | Hsu Y. H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Andrade A. | Imamura M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Zhou Y. | Martin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Noguchi R. (6) | Arseneault N. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Miyoshi K. | Draxl L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Shimizu Y. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Shimabukuro S. (3) | Hsu Y. H. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Andrade A. | Zhou Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Noguchi R. (6) | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Shimabukuro S. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Zhou Y. | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Draxl L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
