Result
2:1
18/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 62% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (43/59) | 71% (44/62) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (16/35) | 47% (18/38) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 60% (6/10) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 29% (18/62) | 27% (16/59) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (20/38) | 54% (19/35) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 33% (3/9) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 19 | 42 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 31 | 48 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 56% (15/27) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (59/94) | 62% (62/100) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (38/100) | 37% (35/94) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (97/194) | 50% (97/194) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 75% (12/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 20% (3/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 52% (16/31) | 48% (15/31) |
Chances of winning
Alexei Popyrin
52.7% | Nicolas Jarry
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.67) |
|
1.99 ↓
(2.02) |
5.7%
(9.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Jarry will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Popyrin is ranked ATP: 25. Jarry is ranked ATP: 53.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Popyrin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Popyrin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alexei Popyrin won against Nicolas Jarry?
Alexei Popyrin has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nicolas Jarry won against Alexei Popyrin?
Nicolas Jarry has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry were as follows:
28.07.2024
Alexei Popyrin
-
Nicolas Jarry
2:0
30.10.2023
Nicolas Jarry
-
Alexei Popyrin
2:0
17.08.2023
Alexei Popyrin
-
Nicolas Jarry
Popyrin A. walkover
12.04.2023
Nicolas Jarry
-
Alexei Popyrin
2:1
Latest results of Alexei Popyrin
Latest results of Nicolas Jarry
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Munar J. | Halys Q. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Rinderknech A. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Cazaux A. (WC) | Hurkacz H. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Khachanov K. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Nishikori K. | Tien L. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ofner S. (Q) | Gakhov I. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Borges N. | Michelsen A. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Popyrin A. (5) | Jarry N. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Lajovic D. (WC) | Fearnley J. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Norrie C. (Q) | Stricker D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Machac T. (3) | |
| 13 | Arnaldi M. (8) | Gaston H. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Sell K. (Q) | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Fucsovics M. | Bergs Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Djokovic N. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Halys Q. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rinderknech A. | Hurkacz H. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Khachanov K. (4) | Nishikori K. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Ofner S. | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Popyrin A. (5) | Fearnley J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Norrie C. | Machac T. (RET.) (3) | 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Arnaldi M. (8) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Fucsovics M. | Djokovic N. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Hurkacz H. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Khachanov K. (4) | Ofner S. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Popyrin A. (5) | Norrie C. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Arnaldi M. (8) | Djokovic N. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Hurkacz H. (6) | Ofner S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Norrie C. | Djokovic N. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Hurkacz H. (6) | Djokovic N. (2) | 1 : 2 |
