Nicolas Jarry vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
25/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
73
Double Faults
64
1st Serve Percentage
53%61%
1st Serve Points Won
84% (48/57)77% (56/73)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (27/51)59% (27/46)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)86% (6/7)
1st Return Points Won
23% (17/73)16% (9/57)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (19/46)47% (24/51)
Break Points Converted
14% (1/7)33% (1/3)
Service Points Won
69% (75/108)70% (83/119)
Return Points Won
30% (36/119)31% (33/108)
Total Points Won
49% (111/227)51% (116/227)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
23
Service Games Won
94% (15/16)94% (16/17)
Return Games Won
6% (1/17)6% (1/16)
Total Games Won
48% (16/33)52% (17/33)

Chances of winning


Nicolas Jarry
65.2%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.44)

    2.72
    (2.75)
    5.6%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Jarry is ranked ATP: 47. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 91.
    • Jarry is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Ugo Carabelli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Jarry will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Jarry won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli were as follows:
    18.02.2023 Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 2:0
    Latest results of Nicolas Jarry
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Moller E.Burruchaga R. A.2 : 1
    3Passaro F. (WC)Vallejo D. (Q)
    4Nava E.Berrettini M. (6)
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Bye
    6Lajovic D.Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    7Jarry N. (WC)Prizmic D. (Q)1 : 2
    8Soto M. (WC)Gaubas V. (LL)0 : 2
    9Tabilo A. (8)Barrios Vera T.
    10Tirante T. A.Buse I.
    11Cerundolo J. M.Garin C.
    12ByeBaez S. (3)
    13Comesana F. (7)Martinez P.2 : 1
    14Pellegrino A. (Q)Barrena A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Navone M.Kopriva V.
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Moller E.
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Hanfmann Y.
    4Prizmic D.Gaubas V.
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11Baez S. (3)
    7Comesana F. (7)Pellegrino A.
    8TBD #15Darderi L. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2