Nicolas Jarry vs Jack Draper – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
23/03/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Match Stats

Aces
1720
Double Faults
67
1st Serve Percentage
66%60%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (60/76)74% (58/78)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (15/39)43% (22/51)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)73% (8/11)
1st Return Points Won
27% (21/78)33% (25/76)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (29/51)62% (24/39)
Break Points Converted
27% (3/11)50% (4/8)
Winners
4335
Unforced Errors
3931
Net Points Won
71% (20/28)58% (11/19)
Max Points In Row
57
Service Points Won
65% (75/115)63% (80/128)
Return Points Won
38% (48/128)35% (40/115)
Total Points Won
51% (123/243)49% (120/243)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
76% (13/17)82% (14/17)
Return Games Won
18% (3/17)24% (4/17)
Total Games Won
47% (16/34)53% (18/34)

Chances of winning


Nicolas Jarry
30.6%
Jack Draper
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 63.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Jarry's form might have worsened.
  • Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jack Draper's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jack Draper, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nicolas Jarry - Jack Draper Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.15
    (2.67)

    1.37
    (1.5)
    4.5%
    (4.1%)
    What is the prediction for Nicolas Jarry - Jack Draper?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 5 - 12.8%). Draper will win (votes: 34 - 87.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 76.7%97.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Jarry is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Draper is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Jarry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Draper is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Draper to win the game is with odds 1.33.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Nicolas Jarry
    Latest results of Jack Draper
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I. (1)Echargui M.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Wong C. (21)1 : 2
    3Hanfmann Y. (2)Riedi L.2 : 0
    4Willwerth B. (WC)van Assche L. (13)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Dedura D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Landaluce M.McDonald M. (22)2 : 0
    7Vukic A. (4)Harris B.0 : 0
    8Basavareddy N.Barrios Vera T. (18)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (5)Draxl L.1 : 2
    10Clarke J.Mochizuki S. (24)2 : 1
    11Walton A. (6)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    12Sweeny D.Hijikata R. (19)0 : 2
    13Bellucci M. (7)Jarry N.2 : 0
    14Cassone M. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (17)2 : 0
    15Kypson P. (8)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    16Bolt A.Shimabukuro S. (16)1 : 2
    17Blockx A. (9)Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    18Mejia N.O'Connell C. (23)0 : 2
    19Burruchaga R. A. (10)Fery A.1 : 2
    20Bu Y.Schoolkate T. (20)2 : 0
    21Svajda Z. (11)Smith C.0 : 1
    22Merida Aguilar D.Svrcina D. (14)2 : 1
    23Jodar R. (12)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    24Miguel G. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)0 : 2

    Final
    1Buse I. (1)Wong C. (21)
    2Hanfmann Y. (2)van Assche L. (13)
    3Tirante T. A. (3)Landaluce M.
    4TBD #7Barrios Vera T. (18)
    5Draxl L.Clarke J.
    6Walton A. (6)Hijikata R. (19)
    7Bellucci M. (7)Cassone M.
    8Basilashvili N.Shimabukuro S. (16)
    9Blockx A. (9)O'Connell C. (23)
    10Fery A.Bu Y.
    11TBD #21Merida Aguilar D.
    12Jodar R. (12)Bonzi B. (15)