Result
3:1
04/07/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/16-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Max, Max |
 Bulgaria | Max |
 Czech-republic | Max |
 Finland | Max |
 Hungary | Max |
 Netherlands | Max |
 Norway | MAX |
 Romania | Max |
 Sweden | Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 72% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 79% (71/90) | 71% (68/96) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (24/44) | 54% (20/37) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 71% (5/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (29/96) | 21% (19/90) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (17/37) | 45% (20/44) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 9% (1/11) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 52 | 29 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 42 | 31 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (21/34) | 64% (7/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (94/133) | 66% (87/132) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (45/132) | 29% (39/133) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (139/265) | 48% (126/265) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 95% (19/20) | 90% (18/20) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 5% (1/20) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 53% (21/40) | 48% (19/40) |
| Distance Covered (metres) |
|---|
| 3325 | 3190 |
Chances of winning
Nicolas Jarry
33.8% | Joao Fonseca
66.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Nicolas Jarry - Joao Fonseca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↑
(2.62) |
|
1.44 ↓
(1.52) |
4.8%
(4.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Nicolas Jarry - Joao Fonseca?
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 13 - 35.1%). Fonseca will win (votes: 24 - 64.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 49.5% – 80.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Jarry (votes: 4 - 50%). Fonseca (votes: 4 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
Preview Facts
- Jarry is ranked ATP: 143. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 54.
- Jarry has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Fonseca has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Jarry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Fonseca could have a small edge in this match.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Nicolas Jarry won against Joao Fonseca?
Nicolas Jarry has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Joao Fonseca won against Nicolas Jarry?
Joao Fonseca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nicolas Jarry - Joao Fonseca were as follows:
Latest results of Nicolas Jarry
Latest results of Joao Fonseca
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Nardi L. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Tseng C. H. | Vukic A. | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Martinez P. | Loffhagen G. (WC) | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Navone M. | Shapovalov D. (27) | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Dimitrov G. (19) | Nishioka Y. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Comesana F. | Moutet C. | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | Ofner S. | Medjedovic H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Monday J. (WC) | Paul T. (13) | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Shelton B. (10) | Bolt A. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Hijikata R. | Goffin D. | 3 : 0 |
| 11 | Kovacevic A. | Fucsovics M. (LL) | 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Monfils G. | Humbert U. (18) | 3 : 2 |
| 13 | Nakashima B. (29) | Bu Y. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Shevchenko A. | Opelka R. | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Faria J. (Q) | Sonego L. | 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Musetti L. (7) | 3 : 1 |
| 17 | Draper J. (4) | Baez S. (RET.) | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Collignon R. | Cilic M. | 0 : 3 |
| 19 | McCabe J. (Q) | Marozsan F. | 0 : 3 |
| 20 | Munar J. | Bublik A. (28) | 3 : 2 |
| 21 | Cobolli F. (22) | Zhukayev B. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Etcheverry T. M. | Pinnington Jones J. (WC) | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Giron M. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 3 : 0 |
| 24 | Gaston H. | Mensik J. (15) | 1 : 3 |
| 25 | De Minaur A. (11) | Carballes Baena R. | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Cazaux A. (Q) | Walton A. | 3 : 2 |
| 27 | Halys Q. | Holmgren A. (Q) | 0 : 3 |
| 28 | Dzumhur D. | Machac T. (21) | 0 : 3 |
| 29 | Michelsen A. (30) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 3 |
| 30 | De Jong J. | Eubanks C. | 3 : 2 |
| 31 | Evans D. (WC) | Clarke J. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 32 | Muller A. | Djokovic N. (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 33 | Fritz T. (5) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 3 : 2 |
| 34 | Diallo G. | Altmaier D. | 3 : 0 |
| 35 | Arnaldi M. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 3 |
| 36 | Holt B. | Davidovich Fokina A. (26) | 0 : 3 |
| 37 | Popyrin A. (20) | Fery A. (WC) | 1 : 3 |
| 38 | Darderi L. | Safiullin R. | 3 : 2 |
| 39 | Kopriva V. | Thompson J. | 2 : 3 |
| 40 | Bonzi B. | Medvedev D. (9) | 3 : 1 |
| 41 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Borges N. | 1 : 3 |
| 42 | Harris B. | Lajovic D. (LL) | 3 : 0 |
| 43 | Mochizuki S. (Q) | Zeppieri G. (Q) | 3 : 2 |
| 44 | McDonald M. | Khachanov K. (17) | 0 : 3 |
| 45 | Berrettini M. (32) | Majchrzak K. | 2 : 3 |
| 46 | Quinn E. | Searle H. (WC) | 3 : 1 |
| 47 | Garin C. (LL) | Rodesch C. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 48 | Rinderknech A. | Zverev A. (3) | 3 : 2 |
| 49 | Rune H. (8) | Jarry N. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 50 | Tien L. | Basavareddy N. | 3 : 0 |
| 51 | Fearnley J. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 3 |
| 52 | Brooksby J. | Griekspoor T. (31) | 3 : 0 |
| 53 | Lehecka J. (23) | Dellien H. | 3 : 1 |
| 54 | Bellucci M. | Crawford O. (WC) | 3 : 1 |
| 55 | Norrie C. | Bautista-Agut R. | 3 : 1 |
| 56 | Moller E. | Tiafoe F. (12) | 0 : 3 |
| 57 | Rublev A. (14) | Djere L. | 3 : 1 |
| 58 | Bergs Z. | Harris L. | 1 : 3 |
| 59 | Mannarino A. (Q) | O'Connell C. | 3 : 0 |
| 60 | Royer V. (Q) | Tsitsipas S. (RET.) (24) | 2 : 0 |
| 61 | Auger-Aliassime F. (25) | Duckworth J. | 3 : 2 |
| 62 | Struff J-L. | Misolic F. (Q) | 3 : 1 |
| 63 | Tarvet O. (Q) | Riedi L. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 64 | Fognini F. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 2 : 3 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Vukic A. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Martinez P. | Navone M. | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Dimitrov G. (19) | Moutet C. | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Ofner S. | Paul T. (13) | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Shelton B. (10) | Hijikata R. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Fucsovics M. | Monfils G. | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Nakashima B. (29) | Opelka R. | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Sonego L. | Basilashvili N. | 3 : 1 |
| 9 | Draper J. (4) | Cilic M. | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Marozsan F. | Munar J. | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Cobolli F. (22) | Pinnington Jones J. | 3 : 0 |
| 12 | Giron M. | Mensik J. (15) | 1 : 3 |
| 13 | De Minaur A. (11) | Cazaux A. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Holmgren A. | Machac T. (21) | 3 : 2 |
| 15 | Kecmanovic M. | De Jong J. | 3 : 1 |
| 16 | Evans D. | Djokovic N. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | Fritz T. (5) | Diallo G. | 3 : 2 |
| 18 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Davidovich Fokina A. (26) | 1 : 3 |
| 19 | Fery A. | Darderi L. | 0 : 3 |
| 20 | Thompson J. | Bonzi B. | 3 : 2 |
| 21 | Borges N. | Harris B. | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Mochizuki S. | Khachanov K. (17) | 2 : 3 |
| 23 | Majchrzak K. | Quinn E. | 3 : 0 |
| 24 | Garin C. | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 3 |
| 25 | Jarry N. | Tien L. | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Fonseca J. | Brooksby J. | 3 : 1 |
| 27 | Lehecka J. (23) | Bellucci M. | 0 : 3 |
| 28 | Norrie C. | Tiafoe F. (12) | 3 : 1 |
| 29 | Rublev A. (14) | Harris L. | 3 : 1 |
| 30 | Mannarino A. | Royer V. | 3 : 1 |
| 31 | Auger-Aliassime F. (25) | Struff J-L. | 1 : 3 |
| 32 | Tarvet O. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Martinez P. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Dimitrov G. (19) | Ofner S. | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Shelton B. (10) | Fucsovics M. | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Nakashima B. (29) | Sonego L. | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Cilic M. | Munar J. | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Cobolli F. (22) | Mensik J. (15) | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | De Minaur A. (11) | Holmgren A. | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Kecmanovic M. | Djokovic N. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Fritz T. (5) | Davidovich Fokina A. (26) | 3 : 1 |
| 10 | Darderi L. | Thompson J. | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | Borges N. | Khachanov K. (17) | 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Majchrzak K. | Rinderknech A. | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Jarry N. | Fonseca J. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Bellucci M. | Norrie C. | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Rublev A. (14) | Mannarino A. | 3 : 0 |
| 16 | Struff J-L. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 3 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Dimitrov G. (RET.) (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shelton B. (10) | Sonego L. | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Cilic M. | Cobolli F. (22) | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | De Minaur A. (11) | Djokovic N. (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Fritz T. (5) | Thompson J. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Khachanov K. (17) | Majchrzak K. | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Jarry N. | Norrie C. | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Rublev A. (14) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Shelton B. (10) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Cobolli F. (22) | Djokovic N. (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Fritz T. (5) | Khachanov K. (17) | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Norrie C. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Djokovic N. (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Fritz T. (5) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 3 : 1 |
