Nicolas Jarry vs Miguel Damas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Damas M. Retired
07/04/2026 at 04:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
50
Double Faults
01
1st serve percentage
69%52%
1st serve points won
91% (10/11)63% (10/16)
2nd serve points won
40% (2/5)20% (3/15)
Break Points Saved
0/03/6
1st return points won
38% (6/16)9% (1/11)
2nd return points won
80% (12/15)60% (3/5)
Break Points Converted
3/60/0
Winners
134
Unforced errors
89
Net points won
33% (1/3)0% (0/1)
Service Points Won
75% (12/16)42% (13/31)
Return Points Won
58% (18/31)25% (4/16)
Total Points Won
64% (30/47)36% (17/47)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (3/3)25% (1/4)
Return games won
75% (3/4)0% (0/3)
Total games won
86% (6/7)14% (1/7)

Chances of winning


Nicolas Jarry
65.7%
Miguel Damas
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Jarry's performance.
  • Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miguel Damas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Nicolas Jarry - Miguel Damas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.54)

    2.72
    (2.28)
    7.2%
    (8.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Jarry is ranked ATP: 154. Damas is ranked ATP: 274.
    • Jarry has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Damas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Damas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Jarry could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Nicolas Jarry
    Latest results of Miguel Damas