Nicolas Jarry vs Sebastian Baez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/02/2023 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: RIO DE JANEIRO (BRAZIL), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Chances of winning


Nicolas Jarry
53.2%
Sebastian Baez
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Jarry's performance.
  • Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebastian Baez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Jarry that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebastian Baez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nicolas Jarry - Sebastian Baez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.99)

    2.05
    (1.84)
    4.4%
    (4.6%)
    What is the prediction for Nicolas Jarry - Sebastian Baez?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 23 - 57.5%). Baez will win (votes: 17 - 42.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 42.2%72.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.
    • Jarry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Jarry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Garin C.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Nava E.2 : 0
    4Prizmic D. (Q)Passaro F. (LL)0 : 2
    5Fonseca J. (3)Monteiro T. (Q)2 : 0
    6Marcondes I. (Q)Buse I.1 : 2
    7Barrios Vera T. (LL)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    8Lajovic D. (LL)Altmaier D. (7)2 : 0
    9Etcheverry T. M. (8)Comesana F.2 : 1
    10Miguel L. (WC)Gaubas V. (Q)1 : 2
    11Dzumhur D.Martinez P.2 : 1
    12Faria J. (LL)Baez S. (4)2 : 0
    13Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    14Heide G. (WC)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    15Hanfmann Y.Reis Da Silva J. (WC)2 : 0
    16Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (RET.) (1)Tirante T. A.0 : 1
    2Tabilo A.Passaro F.2 : 1
    3Fonseca J. (3)Buse I.1 : 2
    4Berrettini M.Lajovic D.2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (8)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    6Dzumhur D.Faria J.0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A.Kopriva V.0 : 2
    8Hanfmann Y.Cerundolo J. M.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tirante T. A.Tabilo A.1 : 2
    2Buse I.Berrettini M.2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M. (8)Faria J.2 : 0
    4Kopriva V.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Tabilo A.Buse I.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M. (8)Kopriva V.2 : 1

    Final
    1Tabilo A.Etcheverry T. M. (8)1 : 2