Result
1:2
08/07/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 54% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (47/71) | 67% (34/51) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (11/33) | 48% (21/44) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 44% (4/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 34% (24/71) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (23/44) | 67% (22/33) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 56% (5/9) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 28 | 32 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 39 | 49 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 69% (9/13) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (58/103) | 57% (54/94) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (40/94) | 44% (45/103) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (98/197) | 50% (99/197) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 67% (10/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 31% (5/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 52% (16/31) | 48% (15/31) |
Chances of winning
Nicolas Mejia
55.9% | Andres Andrade
44.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Mejia's performance.Andres Andrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andres Andrade might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Mejia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andres Andrade than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andres Andrade could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nicolas Mejia - Andres Andrade Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(2) |
|
2.14 ↑
(1.73) |
7%
(7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Nicolas Mejia - Andres Andrade?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Mejia will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Andrade will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mejia: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nicolas Mejia will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Mejia is ranked ATP: 243. Andrade is ranked ATP: 262.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Andrade may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mejia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nicolas Mejia won against Andres Andrade?
Nicolas Mejia has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Andres Andrade won against Nicolas Mejia?
Andres Andrade has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nicolas Mejia - Andres Andrade were as follows:
06.03.2024
Andres Andrade
-
Nicolas Mejia
1:2
09.02.2024
Nicolas Mejia
-
Andres Andrade
2:0
Latest results of Nicolas Mejia
Latest results of Andres Andrade
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Tudorica A. N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakagawa N. | Sakamoto R. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bouzige M. | Gengel M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sell K. | Shimizu Y. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Shimabukuro S. (3) | Langmo C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Johns G. | Chung H. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Riedi L. (Q) | Jubb P. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Boulais J. (WC) | Hsu Y. H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Mejia N. (8) | Andrade A. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Glinka D. (Q) | Imamura M. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Zhou Y. | Wu Tung-Lin | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Martin A. | Galarneau A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Noguchi R. (6) | Ilagan A. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Aguilar J. C. M. (WC) | Arseneault N. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Miyoshi K. | Sekulic P. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Moriya H. (Q) | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Sakamoto R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bouzige M. | Shimizu Y. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Shimabukuro S. (3) | Johns G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Jubb P. | Hsu Y. H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Andrade A. | Imamura M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Zhou Y. | Martin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Noguchi R. (6) | Arseneault N. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Miyoshi K. | Draxl L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Shimizu Y. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Shimabukuro S. (3) | Hsu Y. H. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Andrade A. | Zhou Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Noguchi R. (6) | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Shimabukuro S. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Zhou Y. | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Draxl L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
