Nicolas Mejia vs August Holmgren – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lexington Challenger Men Nicolas Mejia - August Holmgren
Result
Holmgren A. retired
28/07/2025 at 16:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
716
Double Faults
29
1st Serve Percentage
58%57%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (39/52)70% (40/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
70% (26/37)51% (22/43)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)71% (10/14)
1st Return Points Won
32% (18/57)27% (14/52)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (21/43)30% (11/37)
Break Points Converted
29% (4/14)50% (1/2)
Winners
2336
Unforced Errors
2665
Net Points Won
100% (4/4)38% (6/16)
Service Points Won
73% (65/89)63% (62/99)
Return Points Won
37% (37/99)27% (24/89)
Total Points Won
54% (102/188)46% (86/188)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
93% (14/15)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)7% (1/15)
Total Games Won
60% (18/30)40% (12/30)

Chances of winning


Nicolas Mejia
31.1%
August Holmgren
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2% 65.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • August Holmgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Nicolas Mejia - August Holmgren Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (2.62)

    1.37
    (1.44)
    6.8%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Nicolas Mejia - August Holmgren?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mejia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Holmgren will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mejia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mejia is ranked ATP: 240. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 146.
    • Recent performances by Mejia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Holmgren is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Holmgren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Holmgren is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Holmgren will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Nicolas Mejia
    Latest results of August Holmgren
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Basavareddy N. (1)Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0
    2Zhukayev B.Kachmazov A.1 : 2
    3Matsuda R. (Q)Jasika O. (RET.)1 : 1
    4Rybakov A. (Q)Svajda Z. (6)0 : 2
    5Evans D. (3)Andrade A. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Zheng M. (CO)Martin A. (SE)2 : 0
    7Hsu Y. H.Cassone M.2 : 0
    8Mayo A. (Q)Eubanks C. (7)1 : 2
    9Habib H. (8)Zhou Y. (NG)2 : 0
    10Hussey G. (Q)Bolt A.2 : 1
    11Banerjee S. (WC)Tomic B.0 : 2
    12Mejia N.Holmgren A. (RET.) (4)1 : 1
    13Harris B. (5)Suresh D. (Q)0 : 2
    14Harris L. (RET.) (PR)Lajal M.0 : 1
    15Ghibaudo A. (WC)Sakamoto R. (JR)1 : 2
    16Dostanic S. (Q)Spizzirri E. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Basavareddy N. (1)Kachmazov A.2 : 0
    2Matsuda R.Svajda Z. (6)0 : 2
    3Evans D. (3)Zheng M.0 : 2
    4Hsu Y. H.Eubanks C. (7)2 : 0
    5Habib H. (8)Hussey G.0 : 2
    6Tomic B.Mejia N.2 : 0
    7Suresh D.Lajal M.2 : 1
    8Sakamoto R. (RET.)Spizzirri E. (2)1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Basavareddy N. (1)Svajda Z. (6)1 : 2
    2Zheng M.Hsu Y. H.0 : 2
    3Hussey G.Tomic B.0 : 2
    4Suresh D.Spizzirri E. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Svajda Z. (6)Hsu Y. H.2 : 0
    2Tomic B.Spizzirri E. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Svajda Z. (6)Tomic B.2 : 1