Nicolas Mejia vs Cedrik-Marcel Stebe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
11/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Champaign, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
92
Double Faults
32
1st Serve Percentage
56%59%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (35/44)72% (33/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (15/34)59% (19/32)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
30% (14/46)23% (10/44)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (13/32)56% (19/34)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
62% (48/77)67% (52/78)
Return Points Won
33% (26/78)38% (29/77)
Total Points Won
48% (74/155)52% (81/155)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Nicolas Mejia
41.8%
Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Mejia's form might have worsened.
  • Cedrik-Marcel Stebe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cedrik-Marcel Stebe's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Mejia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cedrik-Marcel Stebe than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cedrik-Marcel Stebe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nicolas Mejia - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.91)

    1.62
    (1.8)
    7.3%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Mejia is ranked ATP: 208. Stebe is ranked ATP: 426.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Mejia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Nicolas Mejia
    Latest results of Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mejia N. (1)Stebe C.0 : 2
    2Perez A.Hara Friend J. D.1 : 2
    3Smith K.Jilly A. (WC)0 : 2
    4Martinez A.Purtseladze S. (7)2 : 1
    5Krueger M. (3)Blanch Dar.0 : 2
    6Maxted L. (Q)Azkara A.0 : 2
    7Kozlov S.Borg L.2 : 0
    8Mitsui S. (Q)Zink T. (8)0 : 2
    9Rosenkranz M. (5)Martinez Gomez P. (Q)2 : 0
    10Okonkwo O. (WC)Ganesan A. (Alt)0 : 2
    11McHugh A.Zhang J. (Q)2 : 1
    12Roh H. (JR)Cassone M. (4)0 : 2
    13Martin A. (6)Fishback R. (Q)2 : 0
    14Colleu S. (WC)Al Azmeh T. (Q)1 : 2
    15Miyoshi K.Vandecasteele Q. (LL)2 : 0
    16Braswell M. (PR)Monday J. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Stebe C.Hara Friend J. D.2 : 0
    2Jilly A.Martinez A.0 : 2
    3Blanch Dar.Azkara A.2 : 0
    4Kozlov S.Zink T. (8)2 : 0
    5Rosenkranz M. (5)Ganesan A.2 : 0
    6McHugh A.Cassone M. (4)1 : 2
    7Martin A. (6)Al Azmeh T.0 : 2
    8Miyoshi K.Braswell M.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Stebe C.Martinez A.2 : 1
    2Blanch Dar.Kozlov S.1 : 2
    3Rosenkranz M. (5)Cassone M. (4)0 : 2
    4Al Azmeh T.Miyoshi K.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Stebe C. (RET.)Kozlov S.0 : 1
    2Cassone M. (4)Miyoshi K.2 : 1

    Final
    1Kozlov S.Cassone M. (4)2 : 0