Result
0:2
03/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 55% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (20/40) | 76% (16/21) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 76% (13/17) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 50% (20/40) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 63% (12/19) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 26% (5/19) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (27/59) | 76% (29/38) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 24% (9/38) | 54% (32/59) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (36/97) | 63% (61/97) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 100% (7/7) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 71% (5/7) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 86% (12/14) |
Chances of winning
Nicolas Mejia
25.9% | Rafael Jodar
74.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Mejia's form might have worsened.Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rafael Jodar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Nicolas Mejia - Rafael Jodar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.59 ↑
(2.76) |
|
1.26 ↓
(1.41) |
7%
(7.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Nicolas Mejia - Rafael Jodar?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Jodar will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jodar (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Mejia is ranked ATP: 199. Jodar is ranked ATP: 306.
- In recent matches, Mejia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Jodar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Mejia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Jodar could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Jodar will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mejia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Nicolas Mejia won against Rafael Jodar?
Nicolas Mejia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rafael Jodar won against Nicolas Mejia?
Rafael Jodar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nicolas Mejia - Rafael Jodar were as follows:
17.09.2025
Nicolas Mejia
-
Rafael Jodar
0:2
Latest results of Nicolas Mejia
Latest results of Rafael Jodar
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Rodionov J. (1) | Shelbayh A. (SE) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Perez A. | Svajda T. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Artnak B. (Q) | Tokuda R. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bondioli F. (NG) | Popko D. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Hassan B. (4) | Johns G. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Sekulic P. (PR) | Banerjee S. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Zink T. | Braswell M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Rybakov A. | Monday J. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Mejia N. (5) | Martin A. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Rosenkranz M. | Gengel M. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Jodar R. | Ilagan A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Chan D. (WC) | Pinnington Jones J. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Zheng M. (7) | Tarvet O. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Wallin O. (Q) | Damm M. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Masur D. (Q) | Krueger M. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bouzige M. | Cassone M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Shelbayh A. | Perez A. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Artnak B. | Popko D. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Hassan B. (4) | Banerjee S. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Zink T. | Monday J. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Mejia N. (5) | Rosenkranz M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Jodar R. | Pinnington Jones J. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Zheng M. (7) | Wallin O. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Krueger M. | Cassone M. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shelbayh A. | Popko D. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Banerjee S. | Zink T. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Mejia N. (5) | Jodar R. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Zheng M. (7) | Krueger M. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Shelbayh A. | Zink T. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Jodar R. | Zheng M. (7) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Zink T. | Zheng M. (7) | 0 : 2 |
