Result
0:2
11/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 56% | 45% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 58% (18/31) | 75% (15/20) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 63% (15/24) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 2/7 | 1/2 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 45% (14/31) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 67% (16/24) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 1/2 | 5/7 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 76% (13/17) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (25/55) | 68% (30/44) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (14/44) | 55% (30/55) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (39/99) | 61% (60/99) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 88% (7/8) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 63% (5/8) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 75% (12/16) |
Chances of winning
Nicolas Mejia
56.9% | Shintaro Mochizuki
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Mejia's performance.Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shintaro Mochizuki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-14.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Mejia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+14.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shintaro Mochizuki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nicolas Mejia - Shintaro Mochizuki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(2.11) |
|
2.17 ↑
(1.65) |
6.7%
(8%) | |
What is the prediction for Nicolas Mejia - Shintaro Mochizuki?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mejia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Nicolas Mejia will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Mejia is ranked ATP: 181. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 130.
- Mejia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mochizuki's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mochizuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Nicolas Mejia won against Shintaro Mochizuki?
Nicolas Mejia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shintaro Mochizuki won against Nicolas Mejia?
Shintaro Mochizuki has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nicolas Mejia - Shintaro Mochizuki were as follows:
Latest results of Nicolas Mejia
Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | McDonald M. (Alt) | Landaluce M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Tseng C. H. | Andrade A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Jarry N. (WC) | Walton A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Hurkacz H. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Maestrelli F. | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | van Assche L. (Q) | Schoolkate T. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Barrios Vera T. | Collignon R. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Garin C. (7) | Svrcina D. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Cid Subervi R. (WC) | Blockx A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Burruchaga R. A. | Wong C. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Dzumhur D. (3) | |
| 13 | Navone M. (6) | Hardt N. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Mejia N. (Q) | Mochizuki S. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bautista-Agut R. | Goffin D. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Royer V. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. (1) | McDonald M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Andrade A. | Walton A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Hurkacz H. (4) | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | van Assche L. | Collignon R. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Svrcina D. | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Wong C. | Dzumhur D. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Navone M. (6) | Mochizuki S. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bautista-Agut R. | Royer V. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. (1) | Walton A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Bellucci M. | Collignon R. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Blockx A. | Wong C. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Navone M. (6) | Royer V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Walton A. (8) | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Blockx A. | Navone M. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Bellucci M. | Navone M. (6) | 0 : 2 |
