Result
0:2
28/05/2025 at 15:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Little Rock, hard - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 64% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (23/38) | 77% (33/43) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (11/28) | 50% (12/24) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 80% (4/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 23% (10/43) | 39% (15/38) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 61% (17/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 44% (4/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (34/66) | 67% (45/67) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (22/67) | 48% (32/66) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (56/133) | 58% (77/133) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 89% (8/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 44% (4/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 67% (12/18) |
Chances of winning
Nicolas Mejia
59.1% | Yuta Shimizu
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Mejia's performance.Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yuta Shimizu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Mejia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuta Shimizu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nicolas Mejia - Yuta Shimizu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(2) |
|
2.28 ↑
(1.73) |
7.3%
(7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Nicolas Mejia - Yuta Shimizu?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Mejia will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Shimizu will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mejia: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Mejia is ranked ATP: 246. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 192.
- Mejia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shimizu's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Shimizu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Mejia could have a small edge in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Nicolas Mejia won against Yuta Shimizu?
Nicolas Mejia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yuta Shimizu won against Nicolas Mejia?
Yuta Shimizu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nicolas Mejia - Yuta Shimizu were as follows:
Latest results of Nicolas Mejia
Latest results of Yuta Shimizu
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Krueger M. (1) | Kypson P. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Zink T. | Wu Tung-Lin (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Noguchi R. | Zhou Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sell K. | Jubb P. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Galarneau A. (4) | Nanda G. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Nakagawa N. | Kotzen A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Ivashka I. (PR) | Andrade A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Kozlov S. (Q) | Dougaz A. | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Escoffier A. (6) | Soriano Barrera A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Zheng M. (WC) | Langmo C. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Chung H. (LL) | Martin A. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Mejia N. | Shimizu Y. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rodriguez Taverna S. (RET.) (5) | Miyoshi K. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Milavsky D. (Q) | Bouzige M. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Maloney P. | Kicker N. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Jodar R. | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kypson P. | Zink T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Noguchi R. | Jubb P. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Galarneau A. (4) | Nakagawa N. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Andrade A. | Kozlov S. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Soriano Barrera A. | Zheng M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Martin A. | Shimizu Y. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Miyoshi K. | Milavsky D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Maloney P. | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Kypson P. | Noguchi R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakagawa N. | Andrade A. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Zheng M. | Martin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Miyoshi K. | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Kypson P. | Andrade A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Zheng M. | Draxl L. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final
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