Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Matias Soto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
10/03/2026 at 12:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
12
1st serve percentage
71%65%
1st serve points won
83% (30/36)73% (29/40)
2nd serve points won
67% (10/15)41% (9/22)
Break Points Saved
0/11/4
1st return points won
28% (11/40)17% (6/36)
2nd return points won
59% (13/22)33% (5/15)
Break Points Converted
3/41/1
Winners
1511
Unforced errors
1326
Net points won
75% (3/4)83% (5/6)
Service Points Won
78% (40/51)61% (38/62)
Return Points Won
39% (24/62)22% (11/51)
Total Points Won
57% (64/113)43% (49/113)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
91% (10/11)70% (7/10)
Return games won
30% (3/10)9% (1/11)
Total games won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
68%
Matias Soto
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 40.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Moreno De Alboran's performance.
  • Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matias Soto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Moreno De Alboran that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matias Soto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Matias Soto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.5)

    2.94
    (2.38)
    7.4%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Matias Soto?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Moreno De Alboran will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Soto will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Soto (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Moreno De Alboran is ranked ATP: 633. Soto is ranked ATP: 318.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Moreno De Alboran may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Moreno De Alboran is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Matias Soto
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Villanueva G. (Q)2 : 0
    2Meligeni Alves F.Torrealba B. (Q)2 : 1
    3Cadenasso G.Monteiro T.1 : 2
    4Dedura D. (WC)Galan D. E. (6)2 : 0
    5Faria J. (3)Marcondes I. (Q)1 : 2
    6Moreno De Alboran N. (Q)Soto M.2 : 0
    7Olivieri G. A.Heide G. (RET.)1 : 1
    8Collarini A.Barrena A. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    9Ficovich J. P. (7)Mena F. (Alt)0 : 2
    10Sanchez Izquierdo N.Kingsley C. (Q)2 : 0
    11Rodriguez Taverna S.Malla B. (WC)2 : 0
    12Sakamoto P. (Q)Rocha H. (4)1 : 2
    13Reis Da Silva J. (8)Dutra Da Silva D. (Alt)2 : 1
    14Salazar A. (WC)Boscardin Dias P.0 : 2
    15Varillas J. P.Bueno G.0 : 2
    16Agamenone F.Justo G. I. (LL)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Meligeni Alves F.2 : 1
    2Monteiro T.Dedura D.2 : 0
    3Marcondes I.Moreno De Alboran N.1 : 2
    4Olivieri G. A.Collarini A.2 : 1
    5Mena F.Sanchez Izquierdo N.0 : 2
    6Rodriguez Taverna S. (RET.)Rocha H. (4)0 : 1
    7Reis Da Silva J. (8)Boscardin Dias P.1 : 2
    8Bueno G.Agamenone F.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Monteiro T.1 : 2
    2Moreno De Alboran N.Olivieri G. A.0 : 2
    3Sanchez Izquierdo N.Rocha H. (4)1 : 2
    4Boscardin Dias P.Bueno G.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Monteiro T.Olivieri G. A.1 : 2
    2Rocha H. (4)Boscardin Dias P.2 : 0

    Final
    1Olivieri G. A.Rocha H. (4)