Result
 
                    2:1 penalties
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        18/05/2025 at  11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Africa Cup of Nations U20 - Play Offs - 3rd place
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Asia | beIN Connect MENA, TOD | 
|  Australia | beIN Connect | 
|  Canada | beIN Connect | 
|  Egypt | On Time Sports 1 | 
|  Indonesia | beIN Connect | 
|  Laos | beIN Connect | 
|  Malaysia | beIN Connect | 
|  New-zealand | beIN Connect | 
|  Philippines | beIN Connect | 
|  Thailand | beIN Connect | 
|  Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.87 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 64% | 36% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 30 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 10 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 85% (372/440) | 73% (185/253) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.87 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 2.71 | 0.95 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 30 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 10 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 17 | 5 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 13 | 5 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 17 | 3 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 37 | 11 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 9 | 15 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 85% (372/440) | 73% (185/253) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 57% (25/44) | 38% (29/76) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 76% (145/192) | 59% (37/63) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 0% (0/7) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.44 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 22 | 17 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 15 | 9 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 85% (17/20) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 41 | 42 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 9 | 40 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 11 | 10 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 9 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.71 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.05 | 1.71 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Osama O. ⚽, Labib M. (A), 
- 35', Samy M. 🟨, 
- 42', Sharaf A. ↓, Khaled A. ↑, 
- 45', Armiyau Y. ↓, Oliseh D. ↑, 
- 45', Kpangu E. ↓, Amole B. ↑, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 1, Amole B. ⚽, Oliseh D. (A), 
- 60', Mohamed M. ↓, Khedr O. ↑, 
- 71', Jephta C. ↓, Maigana T. ↑, 
- 71', Benjamin P. ↓, Arierhi K. ↑, 
- 87', Raafat M. ↓, Haitham M. ↑, 
- 87', Osama O. ↓, El Sayed M. ↑, 
- 90+4', Yakub A. ↓, Rufai A. ↑, 
- Penalties (4 - 1)
- 1, Chukwu E. (Pen), 
- 1, Khedr O. (Pen), 
- 2, Ayuma I. (Pen), 
- 2, Khaled A. (Pen), 
- 3, Arierhi K. (Pen), 
- 3, Atef M. (Pen), 
- 4, Maigari A. (Pen), 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Nigeria U20 51.2%
 | Draw 28.9%
 | Egypt U20 19.8%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Nigeria U20 - Egypt U20 Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.79 ↓ (2.55)
 | 3.17 ↑ (2.75)
 | 4.63 ↑ (2.95)
 | 8.9% (9.5%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Nigeria U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nigeria U20 is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nigeria U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Nigeria U20 won against Egypt U20?
                    
                    
                        
                            Nigeria U20 has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Egypt U20 won against Nigeria U20?
                    
                    
                        
                             Egypt U20 has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Nigeria U20 - Egypt U20 were as follows:
                                                        
                                22.02.2023 
                                Nigeria U20 
                                - 
                                Egypt U20 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Nigeria U20                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Egypt U20