Lesotho vs Nigeria, FIFA World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA World Cup Lesotho - Nigeria
Result
1:2
10/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup - Qualification - Round 9
  • Referee: Mahamat A. (Cha)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Maximo 3
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
nigeriaNigeriaNTA Sports
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
south-africaSouth-africaSABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
worldWorldFIFA+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
211
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
716
Shots on target
211
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
25
Offsides
45
Free Kicks
1713
Throw-ins
1827
Fouls
912

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', 0 - 1, Troost-Ekong W. (Pen),
  • 59', Tsotleho J. , Sefali T. ,
  • 62', Arokodare T. , Adams A. ,
  • 64', Lookman A. 🟨,
  • 71', Lookman A. , Chukwueze S. ,
  • 74', Motebang S. , Mokhachane N. ,
  • 74', Toloane T. , Kalake H. ,
  • 80', 0 - 2, Adams A. , Osimhen V. (A),
  • 83', 1 - 2, Kalake H. ,
  • 84', Rapuleng K. , Mphaolole M. ,
  • 89', Simon M. , Zaidu ,
  • 89', Osimhen V. , Ajayi S. ,

Chances of winning


Lesotho
2.9%
Draw
9%
Nigeria
88.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
6.3% 19.8% 74%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lesotho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Nigeria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nigeria's recent form is better than expected.
  • Lesotho - Nigeria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    32.28
    (15)
    10.23
    (4.75)
    1.1
    (1.27)
    3.5%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Lesotho - Nigeria?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Lesotho will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Nigeria will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nigeria: 42.8%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nigeria (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 75%).
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, Nigeria is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lesotho won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lesotho - Nigeria were as follows:
    16.11.2023 Nigeria - Lesotho 1:1
    Latest results of Lesotho
    09.09.2025 Benin - Lesotho 4:0
    05.09.2025 Lesotho - South Africa 0:3
    10.06.2025 Namibia - Lesotho 3:0
    08.06.2025 Angola - Lesotho 4:0
    05.06.2025 Malawi - Lesotho 0:1
    Latest results of Nigeria
    09.09.2025 South Africa - Nigeria 1:1
    06.09.2025 Nigeria - Rwanda 1:0
    19.08.2025 Nigeria - Congo 2:0
    12.08.2025 Sudan - Nigeria 4:0
    05.08.2025 Senegal - Nigeria 1:0
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

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