Nigeria vs Tunisia, Africa Cup of Nations – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Africa Cup of Nations
Result
3:2
27/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Africa Cup of Nations - Round 2
  • Referee: Boubou T. (Mli)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAfroSport TV Africa, Azam Sports 1, Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilBand Play, BandSports, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
cameroonCameroonCanal 2 International, CRTV Sports, Equinoxe, Media Sport Info
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
colombiaColombiaWin Sports
cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireNCI, RTI 3
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceERT 2, ERT Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
italyItalySportitalia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarMATV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maliMaliORTM
mauritiusMauritiusMBC 11
mexicoMexicoClaro Sports, FOX One, Fox Sports
moroccoMoroccoAl Aoula
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaNTA Sports, SuperSport Football Plus
norwayNorwayVG+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV7
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSABC Plus, SuperSport PSL
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
tunisiaTunisiaWatania 1
turkeyTurkeyExxen
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdom4Seven, Channel 4
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
zambiaZambiaZNBC 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.091.04
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
88% (390/441)79% (237/300)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
2.091.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.651.57
Total shots
158
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2523
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1518
Passes
88% (390/441)79% (237/300)
Long passes
43% (20/46)52% (23/44)
Passes in final third
73% (77/106)76% (65/86)
Crosses
41% (11/27)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.941.35
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
1815
Tackles
82% (14/17)83% (5/6)
Duels won
4642
Clearances
2220
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
1.571.65
Goals prevented
-0.43-1.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Osimhen V. ⚽, Lookman A. (A),
  • 44', Osimhen V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 50', 2 - 0, Ndidi W. ⚽, Lookman A. (A),
  • 56', Ajayi S. 🟨,
  • 61', Ben Romdhane M. ↓, Tounekti S. ↑,
  • 67', 3 - 0, Lookman A. ⚽, Osimhen V. (A),
  • 74', 3 - 1, Talbi M. ⚽, Mejbri H. (A),
  • 75', Achouri E. ↓, Gharbi I. ↑,
  • 79', Adams A. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
  • 79', Onyeka F. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
  • 87', 3 - 2, Abdi A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+1', Lookman A. ↓, Awaziem C. ↑,
  • 90+6', Nwabali S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nigeria
40.8%		Draw
32.1%		Tunisia
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 29.4% 31.9%

Nigeria - Tunisia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.33 ↓
(2.44)		 2.95 ↓
(3.22)		 3.52 ↑
(2.97)		 5.2%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Nigeria - Tunisia?
  • Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Nigeria will win (votes: 13 - 27.1%). Tunisia will win (votes: 6 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 29 - 60.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.6% – 74.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Nigeria (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5, 1st Half - Nigeria (9.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Nigeria (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Nigeria (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 16 - 145.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Tunisia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nigeria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Nigeria is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nigeria won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
    Latest results of Nigeria
    23.12.2025 Nigeria - Tanzania 2:1 ✺
    16.12.2025 Egypt - Nigeria 2:1 ✺
    16.11.2025 Nigeria - D.R. Congo 1:2 ✺
    13.11.2025 Nigeria - Gabon 4:1 ✺
    14.10.2025 Nigeria - Benin 4:0 ✺
    Latest results of Tunisia
    23.12.2025 Tunisia - Uganda 3:1 ✺
    07.12.2025 Qatar - Tunisia 0:3 ✺
    04.12.2025 Palestine - Tunisia 2:2 ✺
    01.12.2025 Tunisia - Syria 0:1 ✺
    18.11.2025 Brazil - Tunisia 1:1 ✺
    Draw
    Final tournament

    1/8-finals
    1Mali (A2)Tunisia (C2)2 : 1
    2Senegal (D1)Sudan (E3)3 : 1
    3Egypt (B1)Benin (D3)3 : 1
    4Ivory Coast (F1)Burkina Faso (E2)3 : 0
    5Algeria (E1)D.R. Congo (D2)1 : 0
    6Nigeria (C1)Mozambique (F3)4 : 0
    7South Africa (B2)Cameroon (F2)1 : 2
    8Morocco (A1)Tanzania (C3)1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Mali (A2)Senegal (D1)0 : 1
    2Egypt (B1)Ivory Coast (F1)3 : 2
    3Algeria (E1)Nigeria (C1)0 : 2
    4Cameroon (F2)Morocco (A1)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Senegal (D1)Egypt (B1)1 : 0
    2Nigeria (C1)Morocco (A1)0 : 1

    Final
    1Senegal (D1)Morocco (A1)1 : 0

    3rd place
    2Egypt (B1)Nigeria (C1)0 : 1
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