Nigeria W vs Zambia W, Africa Cup of Nations Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Africa Cup of Nations Women Nigeria W - Zambia W
Result
5:0
18/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Africa Cup of Nations Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport PSL
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireRTI 3
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
moroccoMoroccoArryadia TNT, SNRT Live
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
portugalPortugalSport TV4
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSABC 3, SABC Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
zambiaZambiaZNBC 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.410.57
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
70
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
65% (167/255)71% (234/331)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.410.57
xG on target (xGOT)
4.780.00
Total shots
115
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
03
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
2219
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
98
Passes
65% (167/255)71% (234/331)
Long passes
41% (26/63)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
50% (55/110)47% (44/94)
Crosses
19% (3/16)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.43
Throw-ins
3024
Fouls
89
Tackles
68% (13/19)93% (14/15)
Duels won
3738
Clearances
2525
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.004.78
Goals prevented
0.00-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Ohale O. , Okoronkwo E. (A),
  • 28', Demehin O. 🟨,
  • 31', Lungu I. , Katongo E. ,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Okoronkwo E. , Ajibade R. (A),
  • 40', Nachula R. 🟨,
  • 45', 3 - 0, Ihezuo C. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Nachula R. , Mukoma F. ,
  • 63', Chilufya P. , Chipasula M. ,
  • 63', Maluba M. , Tembo M. ,
  • 65', Ihezuo C. , Isah S. ,
  • 68', 4 - 0, Demehin O. , Okoronkwo E. (A),
  • 69', Belemu M. , Nthala M. ,
  • 73', Okoronkwo E. , Oshoala A. ,
  • 74', Echegini J. , Ucheibe C. ,
  • 74', Ayinde H. , Abiodun D. ,
  • 90+1', 5 - 0, Ijamilusi F. , Ajibade R. (A),

Chances of winning


Nigeria W
46.7%
Draw
29.9%
Zambia W
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 32.1% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 32.6% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nigeria W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nigeria W's performance.
  • Zambia W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zambia W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nigeria W than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nigeria W that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zambia W than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zambia W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nigeria W - Zambia W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.5)
    3.04
    (2.8)
    3.87
    (2.8)
    10%
    (11.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Nigeria W - Zambia W?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nigeria (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Nigeria W will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nigeria is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Zambia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nigeria is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nigeria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:1. (average 3.3:0.3).
    Latest results of Nigeria W
    13.07.2025 Nigeria W - Algeria W 0:0
    10.07.2025 Botswana W - Nigeria W 0:1
    06.07.2025 Nigeria W - Tunisia W 3:0
    29.06.2025 Nigeria W - Ghana W 3:1
    23.06.2025 Portugal W - Nigeria W 0:0
    Latest results of Zambia W
    12.07.2025 Zambia W - D.R. Congo W 1:0
    09.07.2025 Zambia W - Senegal W 3:2
    05.07.2025 Morocco W - Zambia W 2:2
    03.06.2025 South Africa W - Zambia W 2:0
    31.05.2025 Zambia W - Botswana W 1:1
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Morocco W (A1)Mali W (C3)3 : 1
    2Algeria W (B2)Ghana W (C2)0 : 1
    3Nigeria W (B1)Zambia W (A2)5 : 0
    4South Africa W (C1)Senegal W (A3)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Morocco W (A1)Ghana W (C2)
    2Nigeria W (B1)South Africa W (C1)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    3rd place