Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Michalski – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
30/03/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Bucharest - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
71
Double Faults
40
1st serve percentage
39%52%
1st serve points won
83% (20/24)68% (30/44)
2nd serve points won
65% (24/37)46% (19/41)
Break Points Saved
2/36/9
1st return points won
32% (14/44)17% (4/24)
2nd return points won
54% (22/41)35% (13/37)
Break Points Converted
3/91/3
Winners
4310
Unforced errors
4020
Net points won
62% (8/13)29% (2/7)
Service Points Won
72% (44/61)58% (49/85)
Return Points Won
42% (36/85)28% (17/61)
Total Points Won
55% (80/146)45% (66/146)
Last 10 balls
91
Match points saved
00
Service games won
91% (10/11)73% (8/11)
Return games won
27% (3/11)9% (1/11)
Total games won
59% (13/22)41% (9/22)

Chances of winning


Nikoloz Basilashvili
66%
Daniel Michalski
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.1% 36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nikoloz Basilashvili that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Michalski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nikoloz Basilashvili - Daniel Michalski Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.47)

    2.77
    (2.51)
    6%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Nikoloz Basilashvili - Daniel Michalski?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Basilashvili will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Michalski will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 45%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Basilashvili (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 134. Michalski is ranked ATP: 266.
    • Basilashvili has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Michalski is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Basilashvili may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Basilashvili could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Latest results of Daniel Michalski
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Diallo G. (1)Bye
    2Molcan A. (Q)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    3Boitan G. A. (WC)Moller E.0 : 2
    4O'Connell C. (Alt)Navone M. (7)0 : 2
    5Borges N. (4)Bye
    6Dzumhur D.Jianu F. C. (WC)2 : 1
    7Shevchenko A.Turcanu R. D. (WC)2 : 0
    8Maestrelli F.Van De Zandschulp B. (8)0 : 2
    9Altmaier D. (6)Martinez P.2 : 0
    10Basilashvili N. (Q)Prizmic D.0 : 2
    11Sakellaridis S. (Q)Choinski J.2 : 0
    12ByeMarozsan F. (3)
    13Baez S. (5)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    14Bautista-Agut R.Droguet T.1 : 2
    15Virtanen O. (Alt)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    16ByeMannarino A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Diallo G. (1)Molcan A.0 : 2
    2Moller E.Navone M. (7)0 : 2
    3Borges N. (4)Dzumhur D.0 : 2
    4Shevchenko A.Van De Zandschulp B. (8)0 : 2
    5Altmaier D. (6)Prizmic D.2 : 1
    6Sakellaridis S.Marozsan F. (3)0 : 2
    7Baez S. (5)Droguet T.0 : 2
    8Merida Aguilar D.Mannarino A. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Molcan A.Navone M. (7)1 : 2
    2Dzumhur D.Van De Zandschulp B. (8)0 : 2
    3Altmaier D. (6)Marozsan F. (3)0 : 2
    4Droguet T. (RET.)Merida Aguilar D.1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Navone M. (7)Van De Zandschulp B. (8)2 : 1
    2Marozsan F. (3)Merida Aguilar D.1 : 2

    Final
    1Navone M. (7)Merida Aguilar D.2 : 1