Result
4:2
13/05/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 35
- Referee: Legat P. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | Amazon Prime Video |
Chances of winning
Caen 51% | Draw 26.4% | Nîmes 22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Nîmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Caen - Nîmes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.85 ↑ (1.67) |
3.57 ↑ (3.3) |
4.14 ↓ (4.8) |
6.3% (11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Caen - Nîmes?
Users Predictions:
Caen will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Caen has the most likely position - 4 (30.28%), project points - 58, currently - 52, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (1%), not chance of win league.
- Nîmes has the most likely position - 19 (57.7%), project points - 38, currently - 33, a good chance of relegated (87%), not chance of promoted.
- This event has quality 32, small importance 25, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 2.
- Recent matches Caen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Nîmes is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Caen is a favorite.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Caen won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-7.
- Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Nîmes?
Caen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nîmes won against Caen?
Nîmes has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caen - Nîmes were as follows:
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 50:29 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 41:29 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Red Star | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 5 | Reims | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Rodez | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Amiens | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Bastia | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National