Result
 
                    2:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        25/02/2023 at  13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 25
 
                                                - Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Metz  59.9% | Draw  24.6% | Nîmes  15.5% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Metz - Nîmes Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.57 ↓ (1.61) | 
			   3.8 ↑ (3.68) | 
			   6.12 ↑ (5.34) | 
			   6.5% (8%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Metz - Nîmes?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            15 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Nîmes will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 42.8% – 90.6%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
 - Metz has the most likely position - 3 (20.09%),  has project points - 62,  has currently - 38,  has a very small chance of relegated (<1%),  has a chance of promoted (22%),  has a very small chance of win league (4%).
 - Nîmes has the most likely position - 20 (21.13%),  has project points - 39,  has currently - 23,  has a good chance of relegated (69%),  has a very small chance of promoted (<1%),  has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
 - This event has quality 34, importance 49, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
 - Last 5 head-to-head matches Metz won 3. 
 - Both teams are now playing unstable. 
 - In this match Metz is a favorite.
 - Last 9 head-to-head matches Metz won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12. 
 - Including matches at home between the teams Metz won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Nîmes?
                    
                    
                        
                            Metz has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Nîmes won against Metz?
                    
                    
                        
                             Nîmes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Nîmes were as follows:
                                                        
                                10.01.2023 
                                Nîmes 
                                - 
                                Metz 
                                1:4
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Troyes | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 28 | 
| 2 | Red Star | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 | 
| 3 | St Etienne | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28:19 | 9 | 23 | 
| 4 | Pau FC | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 | 
| 5 | Montpellier | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 | 
| 6 | Le Mans | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 20 | 
| 7 | Dunkerque | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 19 | 
| 8 | Reims | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:19 | 4 | 19 | 
| 9 | Guingamp | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:22 | -2 | 19 | 
| 10 | Annecy | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 | 
| 11 | Rodez | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 16 | 
| 12 | Amiens | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 15 | 
| 13 | Nancy | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 15 | 
| 14 | Grenoble | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 14 | 
| 15 | Clermont | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 14 | 
| 16 | Boulogne | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12:21 | -9 | 11 | 
| 17 | Laval | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 9 | 
| 18 | Bastia | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 5:14 | -9 | 7 | 
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National