Bastia vs Niort – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Bastia - Niort
Result
2:1
13/05/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 35
  • Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video

Chances of winning


Bastia
64%
Draw
22.4%
Niort
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 25.6% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5% 24.8% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bastia's performance.
  • Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Bastia - Niort Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.64)
    4.22
    (3.68)
    6.96
    (5.63)
    6.7%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Bastia - Niort?
  • Users Predictions: Bastia will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • Bastia has the most likely position - 4 (25.55%), project points - 58, currently - 53, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • Niort has the most likely position - 20 (97.04%), project points - 31, currently - 27, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of promoted.
    • This event has small quality 25, very small importance 0, small match rating 13. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Bastia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Niort has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Bastia is certain favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Bastia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    Latest results of Bastia
    06.05.2023 Laval - Bastia 2:1
    22.04.2023 Dijon - Bastia 1:1
    15.04.2023 Bastia - Annecy 3:0
    08.04.2023 Bordeaux - Bastia 2:0
    01.04.2023 Bastia - Sochaux 3:2
    Latest results of Niort
    06.05.2023 Niort - Metz 1:3
    22.04.2023 Niort - Caen 1:2
    15.04.2023 Valenciennes - Niort 0:0
    08.04.2023 Niort - Sochaux 0:3
    01.04.2023 Saint-Étienne - Niort 2:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National