Result
2:1
13/05/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 35
- Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 France | Amazon Prime Video |
Chances of winning
Bastia
64% | Draw
22.4% | Niort
13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bastia's performance.Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Bastia - Niort Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.64) |
4.22 ↑
(3.68) |
6.96 ↑
(5.63) |
6.7%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bastia - Niort?
Users Predictions:
Bastia will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Bastia has the most likely position - 4 (25.55%), project points - 58, currently - 53, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Niort has the most likely position - 20 (97.04%), project points - 31, currently - 27, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of promoted.
- This event has small quality 25, very small importance 0, small match rating 13. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Bastia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Niort has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Bastia is certain favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Bastia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.
- Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Niort?
Bastia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Niort won against Bastia?
Niort has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Niort were as follows:
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
