Result
2:1
13/05/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 35
- Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 France | Amazon Prime Video |
Chances of winning
Bastia
64% | Draw
22.4% | Niort
13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bastia's performance.Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Bastia - Niort Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.64) |
4.22 ↑
(3.68) |
6.96 ↑
(5.63) |
6.7%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bastia - Niort?
Users Predictions:
Bastia will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Bastia has the most likely position - 4 (25.55%), project points - 58, currently - 53, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Niort has the most likely position - 20 (97.04%), project points - 31, currently - 27, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of promoted.
- This event has small quality 25, very small importance 0, small match rating 13. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Bastia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Niort has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Bastia is certain favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Bastia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.
- Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Niort?
Bastia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Niort won against Bastia?
Niort has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Niort were as follows:
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 52:32 | 20 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 53:31 | 22 | 57 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 4 | Red Star | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 5 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 48 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:37 | 8 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
