Niteroiense vs Paduano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
08/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Carioca B1 - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, ,
  • 32', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 48', 2 - 1, ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, ,
  • 83', 4 - 1, ,
  • 90', 5 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Niteroiense
42.9%
Draw
30.6%
Paduano
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 29.1% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 28% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Niteroiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Paduano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niteroiense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paduano than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Niteroiense - Paduano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.23)
    2.99
    (3.2)
    3.44
    (3.2)
    9.4%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B2).
    • Niteroiense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Paduano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Niteroiense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Niteroiense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Niteroiense
    01.11.2025 Friburguense - Niteroiense 0:1
    24.10.2025 Campo Grande - Niteroiense 1:1
    18.10.2025 Niteroiense - Bonsucesso 2:3
    10.10.2025 Artsul - Niteroiense 2:2
    Latest results of Paduano
    05.11.2025 Paduano - Friburguense 2:0
    01.11.2025 São Cristóvão - Paduano 2:0
    25.10.2025 Duque de Caxias - Paduano 2:1
    18.10.2025 Paduano - Campo Grande 0:1
    11.10.2025 Bonsucesso - Paduano 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Bonsucesso (1)Duque de Caxias (4)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Sao Cristovao (2)Serrano FC (3)0 : 1, 0 : 1

    Final
    1Bonsucesso (1)Serrano FC (3)0 : 0, 1 : 2