Result
3:1
13/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Cheban S. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (219/291) | 74% (318/428) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (219/291) | 74% (318/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (18/53) | 45% (27/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (50/79) | 62% (79/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | -1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', Kasimov A. 🟨,
- 29', Boselli J. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Boselli J. ⚽, Lesovoy D. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Thompson J. (Pen),
- 45+1', Shpilevski A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Kasimov A. ↓, Tataev A. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 1, Boselli J. ⚽, Olusegun O. (A),
- 53', 3 - 1, Olusegun O. ⚽,
- 57', Kvekveskiri I. ↓, Ignatjev I. ↑,
- 57', Guzina G. ↓, Savelyev M. ↑,
- 67', Lesovoy D. ↓, Bedoshvili V. ↑,
- 68', Ticic L. ↓, Ermakov N. ↑,
- 72', Chichinadze A. ↓, Bubanja V. ↑,
- 72', Bolotov E. ↓, Kamilov V. ↑,
- 82', Boselli J. ↓, Grulev V. ↑,
- 82', Olusegun O. ↓, Cephas R. ↑,
- 89', Ignatjev I. (Pen),
- 90', Bedoshvili V. ↓, Krashevskiy Y. ↑,
- 90+4', Krashevskiy Y. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Pari NN
37.6% | Draw
28% | Orenburg
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pari NN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pari NN than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Pari NN - Orenburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.36) |
3.45 ↑
(3.35) |
2.75 ↓
(2.84) |
3.4%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pari NN - Orenburg?
Users Predictions:
Pari NN will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pari NN won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Orenburg has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Pari NN: Ektov A.
(Knee Injury)
Tsarukyan V.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Pari NN: Vecino T.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pari NN won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pari NN won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Pari NN won against Orenburg?
Pari NN has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Pari NN?
Orenburg has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pari NN - Orenburg were as follows:
04.04.2025
Pari NN
-
Orenburg
1:2
27.09.2024
Orenburg
-
Pari NN
1:2
14.04.2024
Orenburg
-
Pari NN
3:1
24.09.2023
Pari NN
-
Orenburg
3:1
16.02.2023
Orenburg
-
Pari NN
2:1
Latest results of Pari NN
Latest results of Orenburg
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:7 | 15 | 23 |
| 4 | Zenit | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Baltika | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:25 | -18 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
