Noah Yerevan vs Rijeka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
02/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Gidzhenov R. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
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australiaAustraliaStan Sport
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finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 17
germanyGermanyRTL+
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russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 17, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 17
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.15
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
152
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
11
Passes
92% (479/523)83% (298/360)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.15
xG on target (xGOT)
0.250.08
Total shots
152
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
70
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
11
Touches in opposition box
197
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1615
Passes
92% (479/523)83% (298/360)
Long passes
66% (25/38)33% (13/40)
Passes in final third
81% (79/98)55% (41/74)
Crosses
33% (4/12)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.16
Throw-ins
1621
Fouls
1516
Tackles
46% (6/13)91% (10/11)
Duels won
4244
Clearances
2216
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.080.25
Goals prevented
0.08-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Mulahusejnovic N. , Oshima T. (A),
  • 30', Jankovic N. 🟥,
  • 44', Menalo L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Sangare G. 🟨,
  • 63', Menalo L. , Bogojevic B. ,
  • 64', Adu Adjei D. , Dantas T. ,
  • 71', Ferreira H. 🟨,
  • 75', Ferreira H. , Matheus Aias ,
  • 76', Husic A. 🟨,
  • 84', Fruk T. , Juric A. ,
  • 85', Lasickas J. , Ndockyt M. ,
  • 86', Radeljic S. , Vignato S. ,
  • 87', Petrovic D. 🟨,
  • 87', Oshima T. , Thorarinsson G. ,
  • 90+4', Boakye E. , Manvelyan G. ,
  • 90+4', Sangare G. , Harutyunyan H. ,

Chances of winning


Noah Yerevan
42.2%
Draw
27.4%
Rijeka
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 27.8% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 26.8% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Noah Yerevan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noah Yerevan than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Noah Yerevan - Rijeka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (2.28)
    3.44
    (3.35)
    3.1
    (2.98)
    5.6%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Noah Yerevan - Rijeka?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Noah will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Rijeka will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Noah: 33.7%75.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Noah (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Rijeka (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.
    • Noah is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rijeka's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Rijeka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Noah is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Rijeka: Majstorovic A. (Red Card) Skoric M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Rijeka: Lasickas J. (Inactive)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Noah Yerevan
    28.09.2025 Noah Yerevan - Ararat 2:0
    24.09.2025 Noah Yerevan - Van 2:1
    14.09.2025 Noah Yerevan - Pyunik 3:1
    31.08.2025 Alashkert - Noah Yerevan 2:0
    Latest results of Rijeka
    27.09.2025 Rijeka - Istra 1961 0:0
    22.09.2025 Vukovar 91 - Rijeka 3:2
    13.09.2025 Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb 1:1
    31.08.2025 Hajduk Split - Rijeka 2:2
    28.08.2025 PAOK - Rijeka 5:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2