Altamura vs Nocerina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group H Altamura - Nocerina
Result
2:1
05/03/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 26

Chances of winning


Altamura
50.9%
Draw
27.5%
Nocerina
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 24.4% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 15.6% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Altamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altamura's form might have worsened.
  • Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altamura than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altamura that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Altamura - Nocerina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.53)
    3.29
    (3.7)
    4.18
    (5.42)
    10.6%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out)).
    • Recent matches Altamura is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Nocerina is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Altamura is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Altamura won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Altamura won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Altamura - Nocerina were as follows:
    30.10.2022 Nocerina - Altamura 2:3
    Latest results of Altamura
    19.02.2023 Altamura - Martina Calcio 1:2
    12.02.2023 Casarano - Altamura 3:1
    05.02.2023 Altamura - Francavilla 2:1
    29.01.2023 Gravina - Altamura 1:1
    Latest results of Nocerina
    26.02.2023 Nocerina - Barletta 0:1
    12.02.2023 Nocerina - Afragolese 1:1
    05.02.2023 Nocerina - Casarano 0:0
    29.01.2023 Lavello - Nocerina 1:0
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1