Result
4:2
11/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Losavio F. ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, Marquez F. ⚽,
- 34', 2 - 1, Marquez F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 65', 2 - 2, Losavio F. ⚽,
- 76', 3 - 2, Marquez F. ⚽,
- 90', 4 - 2, Gerbaudo M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nocerina 55.9% | Draw 25.5% | Città di Fasano 18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nocerina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Città di Fasano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (-1%)
Nocerina - Città di Fasano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 (1.62) |
3.56 ↓ (3.6) |
4.88 ↑ (4.84) |
10.2% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nocerina won 2.
- Nocerina has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Città di Fasano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Città di Fasano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nocerina is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Nocerina will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nocerina won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 2:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nocerina won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 2:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Nocerina won against Città di Fasano?
Nocerina has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Città di Fasano won against Nocerina?
Città di Fasano has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nocerina - Città di Fasano were as follows:
24.11.2024
Nocerina
-
Città di Fasano
1:1
06.04.2023
Città di Fasano
-
Nocerina
2:3
27.11.2022
Nocerina
-
Città di Fasano
3:2
Latest results of Nocerina
Latest results of Città di Fasano
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barletta | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 43:16 | 27 | 55 |
| 2 | Paganese | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 29:22 | 7 | 53 |
| 3 | Martina Calcio | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 52 |
| 4 | Citta di Fasano | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 52 |
| 5 | Afragolese | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | A.C.D. Nardo | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | Virtus Francavilla | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 39:27 | 12 | 43 |
| 8 | Gravina | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 39 |
| 9 | Fidelis Andria | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 29:25 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | SS Nola 1925 | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 40:41 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Real Normanna | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Heraclea | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 23:28 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Sarnese | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 40:41 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Francavilla | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Ferrandina | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 18:33 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Pompei | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 14:31 | -17 | 21 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 15:56 | -41 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation