Nocerina vs Città di Fasano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group H Nocerina - Città di Fasano
Result
4:2
11/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Losavio F. ,
  • 19', 1 - 1, Marquez F. ,
  • 34', 2 - 1, Marquez F. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 65', 2 - 2, Losavio F. ,
  • 76', 3 - 2, Marquez F. ,
  • 90', 4 - 2, Gerbaudo M. ,

Chances of winning


Nocerina
55.9%
Draw
25.5%
Città di Fasano
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 25.2% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 23.6% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nocerina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Città di Fasano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Nocerina - Città di Fasano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.62)
    3.56
    (3.6)
    4.88
    (4.84)
    10.2%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nocerina won 2.
    • Nocerina has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Città di Fasano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Città di Fasano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nocerina is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Nocerina will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nocerina won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 2:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nocerina won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 2:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nocerina - Città di Fasano were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Nocerina - Città di Fasano 1:1
    06.04.2023 Città di Fasano - Nocerina 2:3
    27.11.2022 Nocerina - Città di Fasano 3:2
    Latest results of Nocerina
    27.04.2025 Nocerina - Angri 6:0
    30.03.2025 Nocerina - Palmese 1914 3:0
    23.03.2025 Martina Calcio - Nocerina 0:0
    Latest results of Città di Fasano
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1