KeuPa vs Nokian Pyry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Mestis - Relegation - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+

Chances of winning


KeuPa
41.9%
Draw
21.6%
Nokian Pyry
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 21.3% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 24.8% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KeuPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Nokian Pyry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KeuPa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nokian Pyry than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nokian Pyry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • KeuPa - Nokian Pyry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.02)
    4.22
    (4.36)
    2.5
    (2.84)
    9.5%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    Preview Facts
    • Pyry (Snowfall) leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KeuPa won 1.
    • KeuPa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Pyry is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Pyry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Pyry will win today's game, with odds of 2.61.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, KeuPa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:30. (average 3.6:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, KeuPa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 5:4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KeuPa - Nokian Pyry were as follows:
    11.03.2026 Nokian Pyry - KeuPa 2:1
    07.03.2026 KeuPa - Nokian Pyry 2:4
    06.03.2026 Nokian Pyry - KeuPa 3:4
    28.02.2026 KeuPa - Nokian Pyry 4:6
    20.12.2025 Nokian Pyry - KeuPa 3:0
    Latest results of KeuPa
    11.03.2026 Nokian Pyry - KeuPa 2:1
    07.03.2026 KeuPa - Nokian Pyry 2:4
    06.03.2026 Nokian Pyry - KeuPa 3:4
    28.02.2026 KeuPa - Nokian Pyry 4:6
    24.02.2026 KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola 1:4
    Latest results of Nokian Pyry
    11.03.2026 Nokian Pyry - KeuPa 2:1
    07.03.2026 KeuPa - Nokian Pyry 2:4
    06.03.2026 Nokian Pyry - KeuPa 3:4
    28.02.2026 KeuPa - Nokian Pyry 4:6
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Jokerit (1)Kiekko-Pojat (8)4 : 2
    2K-Vantaa (4)TUTO (5)4 : 1
    3IPK (2)Hermes (7)4 : 1
    4Kettera (3)RoKi (6)4 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Jokerit (1)K-Vantaa (4)
    2IPK (2)Kettera (3)