Result
3:3
16/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Mazzei T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 83', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+13', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+13', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+13', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+13', 3 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nola
41.4% | Draw
27.1% | Sarnese
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Sarnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nola than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarnese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nola - Sarnese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.35) |
3.35 ↓
(3.45) |
2.89 ↑
(2.48) |
10.1%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nola - Sarnese?
Users Predictions:
Nola will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nola will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Nola is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sarnese is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nola won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Nola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Nola won against Sarnese?
Nola has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarnese won against Nola?
Sarnese has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nola - Sarnese were as follows:
Latest results of Sarnese
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barletta | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 43:16 | 27 | 55 |
| 2 | Paganese | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 29:22 | 7 | 53 |
| 3 | Martina Calcio | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 52 |
| 4 | Citta di Fasano | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 52 |
| 5 | Afragolese | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | A.C.D. Nardo | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | Virtus Francavilla | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 39:27 | 12 | 43 |
| 8 | Gravina | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 39 |
| 9 | Fidelis Andria | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 29:25 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | SS Nola 1925 | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 40:41 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Real Normanna | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Heraclea | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 23:28 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Sarnese | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 40:41 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Francavilla | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Ferrandina | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 18:33 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Pompei | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 14:31 | -17 | 21 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 15:56 | -41 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation
