Result
1:0
28/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Sarnese
49.7% | Draw
26% | Nola
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Nola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nola than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sarnese - Nola Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.81) |
3.5 ↑
(2.98) |
3.75 ↓
(4.66) |
9.9%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 10).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Sarnese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sarnese is the team to beat.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sarnese won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sarnese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sarnese won against Nola?
Sarnese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nola won against Sarnese?
Nola has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarnese - Nola were as follows:
16.11.2025
Nola
-
Sarnese
3:3
Latest results of Sarnese
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barletta ✔ | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 54:19 | 35 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio ✔ | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 46:28 | 18 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano ✔ | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 45:35 | 10 | 59 |
| 4 | Paganese ✔ | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 39:27 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gravina | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 47:38 | 9 | 52 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 45:44 | 1 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 34:26 | 8 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 25:23 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 | Sarnese | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 49:47 | 2 | 40 |
| 12 | Francavilla | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 37:38 | -1 | 40 |
| 13 | Manfredonia | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32:38 | -6 | 40 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 38 |
| 15 | Heraclea ✔ | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 29:38 | -9 | 35 |
| 16 | Pompei | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 20:41 | -21 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana ✔ | 33 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 19:72 | -53 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Barletta is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Martina Calcio is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs )
Citta di Fasano is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs )
Paganese is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs )
Heraclea is Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out )
Acerrana is Relegated to
