Result
5:2
18/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Ounapuu E. ⚽,
- 10', 2 - 0, Beglarishvili Z. ⚽,
- 15', 3 - 0, Palts M. ⚽,
- 18', 4 - 0, Truuvaart A. ⚽,
- 24', 4 - 1, Manucho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 5 - 1, Ounapuu E. ⚽,
- 64', 🟨,
- 67', 🟨,
- 70', 5 - 2, Magi M. ⚽,
- 80', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nõmme United
69.9% | Draw
15.6% | Tartu Welco
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nõmme United's performance.Tartu Welco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nõmme United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Nõmme United - Tartu Welco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.55) |
6.15 ↑
(4.2) |
6.6 ↑
(4.65) |
4.2%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Nõmme United - Tartu Welco?
Users Predictions:
Nõmme United will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nõmme United will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 3.
- Nõmme United is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tartu Welco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nõmme United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nõmme United is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Nõmme United will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 2.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme United won against Tartu Welco?
Nõmme United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tartu Welco won against Nõmme United?
Tartu Welco has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme United - Tartu Welco were as follows:
28.07.2025
Tartu Welco
-
Nõmme United
1:3
15.05.2025
Tartu Welco
-
Nõmme United
1:1
06.04.2025
Nõmme United
-
Tartu Welco
0:1
Latest results of Nõmme United
Latest results of Tartu Welco
Estonian Esiliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 9 |
| 2 | Elva | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Nomme Utd U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Viimsi JK | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Levadia U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Tallinna Kalev | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 | Flora U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Tallinn | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 9 | Nomme Kalju U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 10 | Maardu | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | -10 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Meistriliiga
Promotion ~ Meistriliiga (Promotion: )
Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga B
