Nõmme United vs Tartu Welco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Estonian Esiliiga Nõmme United - Tartu Welco
Result
5:2
18/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Esiliiga - Round 28

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Ounapuu E. ,
  • 10', 2 - 0, Beglarishvili Z. ,
  • 15', 3 - 0, Palts M. ,
  • 18', 4 - 0, Truuvaart A. ,
  • 24', 4 - 1, Manucho ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', 5 - 1, Ounapuu E. ,
  • 64', 🟨,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 70', 5 - 2, Magi M. ,
  • 80', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Nõmme United
69.9%
Draw
15.6%
Tartu Welco
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 21.7% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 20.4% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nõmme United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nõmme United's performance.
  • Tartu Welco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nõmme United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Nõmme United - Tartu Welco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.55)
    6.15
    (4.2)
    6.6
    (4.65)
    4.2%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Nõmme United - Tartu Welco?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nõmme United will win (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nõmme United (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 3.
    • Nõmme United is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tartu Welco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nõmme United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nõmme United is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Nõmme United will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 2.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme United - Tartu Welco were as follows:
    28.07.2025 Tartu Welco - Nõmme United 1:3
    15.05.2025 Tartu Welco - Nõmme United 1:1
    06.04.2025 Nõmme United - Tartu Welco 0:1
    Latest results of Nõmme United
    Latest results of Tartu Welco
    14.09.2025 Tartu Welco - Flora U21 0:0
    10.09.2025 Tartu Welco - Kristiine 8:0
    23.08.2025 FC Tallinn - Tartu Welco 0:2
    18.08.2025 Viimsi JK - Tartu Welco 3:2
    Estonian Esiliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nomme Utd30252395:227377
    2Viimsi JK31206570:244666
    3Elva31157956:49752
    4Tartu Welco31157962:481452
    5Flora U21301281053:411244
    6Nomme Kalju U21311151546:68-2238
    7FC Tallinn311071453:61-837
    8Levadia U2131971554:62-834
    9Tallinna Kalev U21315111549:76-2726
    10Tammeka U2131202932:119-876

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