Result
1:3
28/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', Manucho 🟨,
- 29', Mottus E. 🟨,
- 33', Petmanson J. 🟨,
- 34', Matas K. 🟨,
- 34', Ounapuu E. (Pen),
- 43', 0 - 1, Ounapuu E. ⚽,
- 45+2', 0 - 2, Chanda R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Penu M. ↓, Mugra M. ↑,
- 46', Petmanson J. ↓, Vool A. ↑,
- 46', 0 - 3, Merilai S. ⚽,
- 61', Laanelaid K. ↓, Leppsalu K. ↑,
- 61', Kokka K. ↓, Radomskiy A. ↑,
- 67', Songisepp A. ↓, Kala R. ↑,
- 67', Mottus E. ↓, Magi M. ↑,
- 73', Ounapuu E. ↓, Truuvaart A. ↑,
- 78', Paul J. ↓, Saareleht T. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 3, Manucho ⚽,
- 87', Merilai S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Matas K. ↓, Leppik R. ↑,
- 90+6', Lagus G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tartu Welco 29.5% | Draw 22.2% | Nõmme United 48.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tartu Welco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Nõmme United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Tartu Welco - Nõmme United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.08 ↑ (2.98) |
4.1 ↓ (4.43) |
1.88 ↑ (1.84) |
10% (10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Tartu Welco - Nõmme United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tartu Welco (votes: 1 - 50%). Nõmme United (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Nõmme United will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tartu Welco won 1.
- Tartu Welco has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nõmme United is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Nõmme United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tartu Welco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tartu Welco won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tartu Welco won against Nõmme United?
Tartu Welco has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme United won against Tartu Welco?
Nõmme United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tartu Welco - Nõmme United were as follows:
15.05.2025
Tartu Welco
-
Nõmme United
1:1
06.04.2025
Nõmme United
-
Tartu Welco
0:1
Latest results of Tartu Welco
Latest results of Nõmme United
Estonian Esiliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Nomme Utd | 25 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 75:19 | 56 | 62 |
2 | Viimsi JK | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 52:20 | 32 | 53 |
3 | Tartu Welco | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 55:34 | 21 | 49 |
4 | Elva | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 48:41 | 7 | 44 |
5 | Flora U21 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 42:36 | 6 | 31 |
6 | FC Tallinn | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 43:45 | -2 | 31 |
7 | Nomme Kalju U21 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 37:58 | -21 | 30 |
8 | Levadia U21 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 38:47 | -9 | 23 |
9 | Tallinna Kalev U21 | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 38:59 | -21 | 18 |
10 | Tammeka U21 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 23:92 | -69 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Meistriliiga
Promotion ~ Meistriliiga (Promotion: )
Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga B