Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Estonian Esiliiga Tartu Welco - Nõmme United
Result
1:3
28/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Esiliiga - Round 21

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 9', Manucho 🟨,
  • 29', Mottus E. 🟨,
  • 33', Petmanson J. 🟨,
  • 34', Matas K. 🟨,
  • 34', Ounapuu E. (Pen),
  • 43', 0 - 1, Ounapuu E. ,
  • 45+2', 0 - 2, Chanda R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Penu M. , Mugra M. ,
  • 46', Petmanson J. , Vool A. ,
  • 46', 0 - 3, Merilai S. ,
  • 61', Laanelaid K. , Leppsalu K. ,
  • 61', Kokka K. , Radomskiy A. ,
  • 67', Songisepp A. , Kala R. ,
  • 67', Mottus E. , Magi M. ,
  • 73', Ounapuu E. , Truuvaart A. ,
  • 78', Paul J. , Saareleht T. ,
  • 81', 1 - 3, Manucho ,
  • 87', Merilai S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Matas K. , Leppik R. ,
  • 90+6', Lagus G. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tartu Welco
29.5%
Draw
22.2%
Nõmme United
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 20.4% 49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 20% 50.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tartu Welco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Nõmme United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Tartu Welco - Nõmme United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (2.98)
    4.1
    (4.43)
    1.88
    (1.84)
    10%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Tartu Welco - Nõmme United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tartu Welco (votes: 1 - 50%). Nõmme United (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Nõmme United will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tartu Welco won 1.
    • Tartu Welco has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nõmme United is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Nõmme United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tartu Welco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tartu Welco won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tartu Welco - Nõmme United were as follows:
    15.05.2025 Tartu Welco - Nõmme United 1:1
    06.04.2025 Nõmme United - Tartu Welco 0:1
    Latest results of Tartu Welco
    Latest results of Nõmme United
    Estonian Esiliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nomme Utd22181369:165355
    2Viimsi JK21153346:153148
    3Tartu Welco21124546:301640
    4Elva21115543:36738
    5FC Tallinn2294942:40231
    6Flora U212276939:34527
    7Nomme Kalju U2121811231:52-2125
    8Levadia U2122651137:43-623
    9Tallinna Kalev U2122271333:56-2313
    10Tammeka U2122202022:86-646

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