Nongbua Pitchaya vs Thai Port – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Pitchaya Stadium (Nong Bua Lam Phu).

Thai League 1 - Round 29
Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	SPOTV Now
Thailand	True Ball Thai 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	1.82
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
12	18
Shots on target
5	9
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
5	5
Passes
80% (222/278)	85% (347/408)
Yellow Cards
2	5
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	1.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.59	1.39
Total shots
12	18
Shots on target
5	9
Shots off target
3	8
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
9	16
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
20	26
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
9	12
Passes
80% (222/278)	85% (347/408)
Long passes
57% (37/65)	43% (26/61)
Passes in final third
62% (56/91)	76% (89/117)
Crosses
21% (5/24)	41% (11/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.44	2.00
Fouls
12	9
Tackles
73% (8/11)	88% (14/16)
Duels won
31	51
Clearances Total
19	27
Interceptions
8	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
7	4
xGOT faced
1.39	0.59
Goals prevented
-0.61	-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Phochai T. ⚽, Lyngbo S. (A),
33', Boonlha S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Boonlha S. ↓, Karin C. ↑,
54', Doumbouya L. ↓, Phosri N. ↑,
56', Jorge Felipe 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Poeiphimai T. ⚽, Buran C. (A),
59', 1 - 2, Phala B. ⚽,
63', Poeiphimai T. 🟨,
64', Lukthong N. ↓, Sriwichai W. ↑,
64', Conrado ↓, Judivan ↑,
66', Buran C. 🟨,
72', Phala B. ↓, Prempak P. ↑,
72', Buran C. ↓, Deeromram K. ↑,
72', Harntes A. ↓, Sathaporn W. ↑,
72', Waenlor A. ↓, Park Jong-Woo ↑,
77', Seekaewnit P. ↓, Jujeen A. ↑,
80', Poeiphimai T. ↓, Sapso P. ↑,
82', Kanitsribampen W. 🟨,
85', Jujeen A. 🟨,
90+1', Sapso P. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Nongbua Pitchaya
41.1%

Draw
24.4%

Thai Port
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

23.4%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

22.2%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nongbua Pitchaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nongbua Pitchaya's performance.

Thai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thai Port might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nongbua Pitchaya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thai Port than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thai Port could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nongbua Pitchaya - Thai Port Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (3.03)	3.74 ↓ (3.88)	2.65 ↑ (1.96)	9.5% (9.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Nongbua Pitchaya - Thai Port?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Port (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Port (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 6).
Recent matches Nongbua Pitchaya is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Port is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Nongbua Pitchaya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nongbua Pitchaya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.4:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Nongbua Pitchaya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Nongbua Pitchaya won against Thai Port?

Nongbua Pitchaya has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Thai Port won against Nongbua Pitchaya?

Thai Port has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nongbua Pitchaya - Thai Port were as follows:

01.12.2024 Thai Port - Nongbua Pitchaya 2:1

19.02.2023 Thai Port - Nongbua Pitchaya 2:1

18.09.2022 Nongbua Pitchaya - Thai Port 0:0

Latest results of Nongbua Pitchaya

16.04.2025 Nongbua Pitchaya - Uthai Thani 1:0 ✺

04.04.2025 Chiangrai United - Nongbua Pitchaya 2:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Nongbua Pitchaya - Sukhothai 1:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Khonkaen United - Nongbua Pitchaya 0:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Ratchaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Thai Port

16.04.2025 Lamphun Warriors - Thai Port 2:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Nakhon Pathom United - Thai Port 2:2 ✺

10.04.2025 Thai Port - Prachuap 0:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Thai Port - Uthai Thani 1:1 ✺

30.03.2025 Lamphun Warriors - Thai Port 3:2 ✺

Thai League 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Buriram	21	17	2	2	57:20	37	53
2	Ratchaburi	21	13	3	5	35:19	16	42
3	Port MTI FC	22	12	4	6	42:19	23	40
4	Bangkok Utd	21	11	7	3	33:21	12	40
5	Pathum United	22	11	6	5	33:22	11	39
6	Prachuap	22	7	10	5	29:28	1	31
7	Ayutthaya Utd	22	7	8	7	29:31	-2	29
8	Rayong FC	21	7	7	7	32:29	3	28
9	Chiangrai Utd	22	6	10	6	28:31	-3	28
10	Uthai Thani	22	6	7	9	34:37	-3	25
11	Chonburi	22	6	7	9	25:28	-3	25
12	Lamphun Warrior	22	3	12	7	29:39	-10	21
13	Sukhothai	22	4	9	9	16:32	-16	21
14	Kanchanaburi	23	2	10	11	22:44	-22	16
15	Muang Thong Utd	22	3	6	13	19:42	-23	15
16	Nakhon Ratchasima FC	21	3	4	14	14:35	-21	13

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Thai League 2