Result
0:3
16/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 00:39, 0 - 1, Popov D. (G),
- 12:12, 0 - 2, Bobylyov V. (G), Sukhov S. (A), Lyulko V. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 08:41, 0 - 3, Borisenkov A. (G), Sidlyarov D. (A), Bobylyov V. (A2)
Chances of winning
Norilsk
36.6% | Draw
21.8% | Dizel Penza
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Norilsk's performance.Dizel Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dizel Penza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norilsk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dizel Penza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Norilsk - Dizel Penza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↓
(3.55) |
4.22 ↑
(3.78) |
2.21 ↑
(1.82) |
8.8%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
What is the prediction for Norilsk - Dizel Penza?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Norilsk will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Norilsk is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Dizel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Dizel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Dizel has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- We predict that Norilsk will win today's game, with odds of 2.62.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 2.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Norilsk won against Dizel Penza?
Norilsk has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dizel Penza won against Norilsk?
Dizel Penza has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Norilsk - Dizel Penza were as follows:
07.11.2025
Dizel Penza
-
Norilsk
2:1
06.03.2025
Norilsk
-
Dizel Penza
0:2
19.09.2024
Dizel Penza
-
Norilsk
1:3
14.02.2024
Dizel Penza
-
Norilsk
0:5
06.09.2023
Norilsk
-
Dizel Penza
2:4
Latest results of Norilsk
Latest results of Dizel Penza
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ | 56 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 196:122 | 94 |
| 2 | HC Yugra ✔ | 55 | 34 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 151:85 | 90 |
| 3 | Almetyevsk ✔ | 55 | 31 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 196:111 | 83 |
| 4 | Khimik | 54 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 161:111 | 75 |
| 5 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 54 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 160:120 | 70 |
| 6 | Omskie Krylia | 56 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 146:122 | 69 |
| 7 | Gornyak | 55 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 161:134 | 69 |
| 8 | Perm | 55 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 133:139 | 69 |
| 9 | Izhevsk | 55 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 139:122 | 68 |
| 10 | CSK VVS | 54 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 153:125 | 68 |
| 11 | Ryazan | 54 | 25 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 146:128 | 68 |
| 12 | Dizel | 55 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 139:122 | 68 |
| 13 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 54 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 155:144 | 67 |
| 14 | Krasnoyarsk | 57 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 134:138 | 66 |
| 15 | Rubin Tyumen | 56 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 136:127 | 66 |
| 16 | Torpedo Gorky | 54 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 151:125 | 64 |
| 17 | Bars | 54 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 116:119 | 64 |
| 18 | Toros Neftekamsk | 55 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 127:137 | 62 |
| 19 | Kurgan | 55 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 129:130 | 59 |
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 55 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 146:141 | 58 |
| 21 | Zvezda Moscow | 54 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 119:125 | 57 |
| 22 | AKM | 55 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 24 | 124:153 | 56 |
| 23 | Tambov | 55 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 136:151 | 54 |
| 24 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 56 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 109:144 | 53 |
| 25 | Olympia | 54 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 95:140 | 49 |
| 26 | Orsk | 53 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 86:140 | 47 |
| 27 | Dyn. Altay | 56 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 120:172 | 47 |
| 28 | Buran Voronezh | 56 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 117:166 | 47 |
| 29 | Kristall Saratov | 54 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 116:154 | 44 |
| 30 | HK Norilsk | 56 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 111:158 | 41 |
| 31 | Chelny | 54 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 122:168 | 40 |
| 32 | HC Rostov | 55 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 110:167 | 37 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
