Result
2:3 penalties
13/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 04:20, 1 - 0, Krovyakov M. (G), Filin Y. (A), Belyayev A. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 03:09, 1 - 1, Yadykin Y. (G), Bulychyov G. (A),
- 14:41, 1 - 2, Golodnyuk S. (G), Yemets I. (A), Yakovlev Y. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 14:14, 2 - 2, Korotkikh I. (G), Gavrilov I. (A),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (0 - 3)
- 1, Kirileichenko M. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Yarovoi S. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Golodnyuk S. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Kholodilin N. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Yemets I. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Belyayev A. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Mokin N. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Khimik
71.6% | Draw
15.1% | Norilsk
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Khimik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Khimik that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Khimik - Norilsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.36) |
6.05 ↑
(5.18) |
6.85 ↑
(6.34) |
9.4%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khimik won 4.
- In recent matches, Khimik has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Norilsk has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Norilsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Norilsk has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Khimik is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Khimik won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:12. (average 3.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Khimik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 6:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Khimik won against Norilsk?
Khimik has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Norilsk won against Khimik?
Norilsk has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Khimik - Norilsk were as follows:
04.10.2025
Norilsk
-
Khimik
0:4
16.08.2025
Norilsk
-
Khimik
3:4
27.01.2025
Norilsk
-
Khimik
2:1
25.10.2024
Khimik
-
Norilsk
6:4
29.12.2023
Khimik
-
Norilsk
6:2
Latest results of Norilsk
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ | 56 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 196:122 | 94 |
| 2 | HC Yugra ✔ | 55 | 34 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 151:85 | 90 |
| 3 | Almetyevsk ✔ | 55 | 31 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 196:111 | 83 |
| 4 | Khimik | 54 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 161:111 | 75 |
| 5 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 54 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 160:120 | 70 |
| 6 | Gornyak | 55 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 161:134 | 69 |
| 7 | Perm | 55 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 133:139 | 69 |
| 8 | Izhevsk | 55 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 139:122 | 68 |
| 9 | CSK VVS | 54 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 153:125 | 68 |
| 10 | Ryazan | 54 | 25 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 146:128 | 68 |
| 11 | Dizel | 55 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 139:122 | 68 |
| 12 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 54 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 155:144 | 67 |
| 13 | Omskie Krylia | 55 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 145:122 | 67 |
| 14 | Krasnoyarsk | 57 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 134:138 | 66 |
| 15 | Torpedo Gorky | 54 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 151:125 | 64 |
| 16 | Rubin Tyumen | 55 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 131:125 | 64 |
| 17 | Bars | 54 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 116:119 | 64 |
| 18 | Toros Neftekamsk | 55 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 127:137 | 62 |
| 19 | Kurgan | 55 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 129:130 | 59 |
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 55 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 146:141 | 58 |
| 21 | Zvezda Moscow | 54 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 119:125 | 57 |
| 22 | AKM | 55 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 24 | 124:153 | 56 |
| 23 | Tambov | 55 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 136:151 | 54 |
| 24 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 55 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 109:143 | 52 |
| 25 | Olympia | 54 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 95:140 | 49 |
| 26 | Orsk | 53 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 86:140 | 47 |
| 27 | Dyn. Altay | 56 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 120:172 | 47 |
| 28 | Buran Voronezh | 56 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 117:166 | 47 |
| 29 | Kristall Saratov | 54 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 116:154 | 44 |
| 30 | HK Norilsk | 55 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 109:153 | 41 |
| 31 | Chelny | 54 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 122:168 | 40 |
| 32 | HC Rostov | 55 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 110:167 | 37 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
