Norilsk vs Magnitka Magnitogorsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
05/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 3)
  • 05:37, 0 - 1, Galenyuk M. (G), Osipovich B. (A), Kovgorenya A. (A2)
  • 11:18, 0 - 2, Penzin Y. (G), Mikhnin D. (A), Grass M. (A2)
  • 14:18, 0 - 3, Vaulin M. (G), Zimin N. (A), Rybin I. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 4, (G),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Norilsk
28.4%
Draw
23.8%
Magnitka Magnitogorsk
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 22.9% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 24.4% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Magnitka Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Norilsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Magnitka Magnitogorsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Norilsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (2.75)
    3.88
    (4.03)
    1.92
    (2.11)
    8.6%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
    What is the prediction for Norilsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Magnitka will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Magnitka (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Norilsk has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Magnitka is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Norilsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Magnitka could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Magnitka will win today's game, with odds of 1.95.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Norilsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Norilsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk were as follows:
    14.10.2025 Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Norilsk 2:3
    12.03.2025 Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Norilsk 1:0
    03.09.2024 Norilsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk 5:2
    Latest results of Norilsk
    03.02.2026 Norilsk - Chelmet 2:3
    01.02.2026 Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK 0:1
    26.01.2026 Molot Perm - Norilsk 6:3
    24.01.2026 Toros Neftekamsk - Norilsk 5:2
    Latest results of Magnitka Magnitogorsk
    VHL Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ 61391147222:130104
    2HC Yugra ✔ 6138878175:9299
    3Almetyevsk ✔ 6034899217:12493
    4Khimik ✔ 61345715179:12185
    5Ryazan ✔ 61298519159:13779
    6Chelmet Chelyabinsk ✔ 60305718176:15977
    7Magnitka Magnitogorsk ✔ 602581116174:13677
    8Gornyak ✔ 602510718179:14477
    9Omskie Krylia ✔ 60288420160:12876
    10Perm ✔ 602113620142:15174
    11Izhevsk ✔ 60313620155:13674
    12Torpedo Gorky ✔ 622410622174:14574
    13Rubin Tyumen602013720149:13473
    14CSK VVS60248820163:14372
    15Dizel ✔ 61275821150:13972
    16Krasnoyarsk622111822146:15172
    17Bars612361319128:13871
    18Toros Neftekamsk60226923136:14865
    19Dinamo St. Petersburg60235626156:16262
    20Zvezda Moscow60235626135:14162
    21Kurgan60207825136:14662
    22SKA-VMF St. Petersburg61224827123:15160
    23AKM611313827136:16960
    24Olympia601410927107:15357
    25Tambov60178629144:16756
    26Kristall Saratov60194631140:17252
    27Orsk601831029100:16352
    28Buran Voronezh62166733130:18151
    29Dyn. Altay621371131133:19351
    30HK Norilsk61165535120:16847
    31Chelny60128436132:19044
    32HC Rostov61134935117:18143

          Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Khimik is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ryazan is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chelmet Chelyabinsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Magnitka Magnitogorsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Gornyak is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Omskie Krylia is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Perm is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Izhevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Torpedo Gorky is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Dizel is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)