Norilsk vs Rubin Tyumen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:5
25/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 05:02, 0 - 1, Styozhkin I. (G), Isayev I. (A), Ivanov Y. D. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 3)
  • 04:36, 0 - 2, Kanitsky Y. (G), Kartashov A. (A),
  • 06:03, 0 - 3, Stikhanovsky M. (G), Petrakov I. (A),
  • 08:09, 0 - 4, Kanitsky Y. (G), Stikhanovsky M. (A), Lazarev M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 05:10, 1 - 4, Mokin N. (G), Skorikov D. (A),
  • 08:22, 2 - 4, Yemets I. (G), Kovalev I. (A), Yakovlev Y. (A2)
  • 19:42, 2 - 5, Ivanov Y. D. (G), Brinkmann A. (A), Voronkov P. (A2)

Official Live

Chances of winning


Norilsk
22.6%
Draw
22.4%
Rubin Tyumen
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 24.8% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3% 25.1% 40.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Norilsk's form might have worsened.
  • Rubin Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rubin Tyumen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Norilsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (-14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rubin Tyumen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Norilsk - Rubin Tyumen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.14
    (2.77)
    4.18
    (3.78)
    1.7
    (2.27)
    7%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
    What is the prediction for Norilsk - Rubin Tyumen?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rubin Tyumen will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 1.
    • Norilsk is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rubin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rubin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Rubin is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:31. (average 1.9:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 2:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Norilsk - Rubin Tyumen were as follows:
    25.09.2025 Rubin Tyumen - Norilsk 3:2
    11.02.2025 Norilsk - Rubin Tyumen 1:0
    09.10.2024 Rubin Tyumen - Norilsk 2:1
    02.03.2024 Rubin Tyumen - Norilsk 6:3
    29.02.2024 Norilsk - Rubin Tyumen 4:5
    Latest results of Norilsk
    23.02.2026 Norilsk - Zauralie Kurgan 1:2
    21.02.2026 Norilsk - Omskie Krylia 1:3
    15.02.2026 Zvezda Moscow - Norilsk 4:1
    13.02.2026 Khimik - Norilsk 2:3
    11.02.2026 Torpedo-Gorky - Norilsk 4:0
    Latest results of Rubin Tyumen
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)CSK VVS (16)1 : 0
    2Gornyak (8)Perm (9)
    3Khimik (4)Izhevsk (13)
    4Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)Torpedo Gorky (12)
    5HC Yugra (2)Bars (15)
    6Omskie Krylia (7)Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10)0 : 1
    7Almetyevsk (3)Dizel (14)
    8Ryazan (6)Rubin Tyumen (11)