Norilsk vs Rubin Tyumen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Dvorets Sporta Arktika (Norilsk).

VHL

Chances of winning

Norilsk
22.8%

Draw
22.6%

Rubin Tyumen
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

24.8%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

25.1%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Norilsk's form might have worsened.

Rubin Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rubin Tyumen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Norilsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rubin Tyumen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Norilsk - Rubin Tyumen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (2.77)	4.15 ↑ (3.78)	1.72 ↓ (2.27)	6.6% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

What is the prediction for Norilsk - Rubin Tyumen?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rubin (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 1.
Norilsk is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rubin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Rubin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Rubin is considered a favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:31. (average 1.9:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 2:2.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Norilsk won against Rubin Tyumen?

Norilsk has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Tyumen won against Norilsk?

Rubin Tyumen has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Norilsk - Rubin Tyumen were as follows:

25.09.2025 Rubin Tyumen - Norilsk 3:2

11.02.2025 Norilsk - Rubin Tyumen 1:0

09.10.2024 Rubin Tyumen - Norilsk 2:1

02.03.2024 Rubin Tyumen - Norilsk 6:3

29.02.2024 Norilsk - Rubin Tyumen 4:5

Latest results of Norilsk

23.02.2026 Norilsk - Zauralie Kurgan 1:2 ✺

21.02.2026 Norilsk - Omskie Krylia 1:3 ✺

15.02.2026 Zvezda Moscow - Norilsk 4:1 ✺

13.02.2026 Khimik - Norilsk 2:3 ✺

11.02.2026 Torpedo-Gorky - Norilsk 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Rubin Tyumen

22.02.2026 Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Rubin Tyumen 2:1 ✺

20.02.2026 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Rubin Tyumen 3:0 ✺

18.02.2026 Dynamo-Altay - Rubin Tyumen 3:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Rubin Tyumen - Tambov 2:1 ✺

12.02.2026 Rubin Tyumen - Rostov 5:0 ✺

VHL Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔	56	34	11	4	7	196:122	94
2	HC Yugra ✔	55	34	8	6	7	151:85	90
3	Almetyevsk ✔	55	31	6	9	9	196:111	83
4	Khimik	54	29	5	7	13	161:111	75
5	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	54	24	7	8	15	160:120	70
6	Gornyak	55	23	8	7	17	161:134	69
7	Perm	55	20	12	5	18	133:139	69
8	Izhevsk	55	28	3	6	18	139:122	68
9	CSK VVS	54	23	8	6	17	153:125	68
10	Ryazan	54	25	7	4	18	146:128	68
11	Dizel	55	25	5	8	17	139:122	68
12	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	54	25	5	7	17	155:144	67
13	Omskie Krylia	55	26	6	3	20	145:122	67
14	Krasnoyarsk	57	18	11	8	20	134:138	66
15	Torpedo Gorky	54	22	7	6	19	151:125	64
16	Rubin Tyumen	55	17	12	6	20	131:125	64
17	Bars	54	22	4	12	16	116:119	64
18	Toros Neftekamsk	55	21	6	8	20	127:137	62
19	Kurgan	55	19	7	7	22	129:130	59
20	Dinamo St. Petersburg	55	21	5	6	23	146:141	58
21	Zvezda Moscow	54	22	4	5	23	119:125	57
22	AKM	55	12	13	6	24	124:153	56
23	Tambov	55	17	7	6	25	136:151	54
24	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	55	19	4	6	26	109:143	52
25	Olympia	54	12	8	9	25	95:140	49
26	Orsk	53	17	2	9	25	86:140	47
27	Dyn. Altay	56	12	7	9	28	120:172	47
28	Buran Voronezh	56	14	6	7	29	117:166	47
29	Kristall Saratov	54	16	3	6	29	116:154	44
30	HK Norilsk	55	13	5	5	32	109:153	41
31	Chelny	54	12	7	2	33	122:168	40
32	HC Rostov	55	11	3	9	32	110:167	37

Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)